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Hutchison Port Holdings Trust: 86c.

Thursday, June 9, 2011

Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (HPH) saw its unit price sinking lower today to close at 86c per unit. This is almost 15% lower than its IPO price of US$1.01 per unit not too long ago.


Just like what I did with Sabana REIT when it was newly listed, I used Fibo lines to estimate where are the critical supports for HPH and 86c is where we find the 161.8% Fibo line.


If 86c breaks, we could see price hitting 81c as the next strong support using the high of US$1.02 as 0%.

At 81c, it could be too tempting to refuse even though it is denominated in US$.

Related post:
Hutchison Port Holdings Trust: A weak debut.

Perennial China Retail Trust: Weak debut?

On 19 May, I did a relatively lengthy blog post on why I found Perennial China Retail Trust (PCRT) unattractive as an investment.


At that time, they were going to price it between 70c to 76c per unit. Ultimately, the trust was offered at 70c per unit, the lowest price in the range, and it was only 1.6x subscribed. The suggestion that the market is not enthusiastic about the IPO is not far off the mark.

Today, it closed at 61c or 12.86% lower than its IPO price of 70c. A weak debut? That would be an understatement.

Would I be interested in PCRT if its price were to weaken further? Yes, I would be interested if its distribution yield for 2011 were to be much higher than the 5.3% at its IPO price of 70c.

At today's closing price of 61c, its distribution yield has improved to 6.08% for the year 2011. However, it is still not attractive enough for me to invest for income. In my last blog post on this, I compared the distribution yield to CapitaRetail China Trust which was offering a distribution yield of 6.83%.

So, unless PCRT trades at a much higher distribution yield and this is really to compensate for the rather risky investment that it is, I would not be tempted. At 54c per unit, PCRT would trade at a distribution yield of 6.87% and, perhaps, I would be interested then.

Read article here.

Related post:
Perennial China Retail Trust.


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