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New or Resale Property – Which One Is a Better Investment?

Wednesday, March 30, 2011

The following post is excerpted from the newly launched Secrets of Singapore Property Gurus, in an interview with Getty Goh, Director of Ascendant Assets.

Based on the research my company has done, we found that buyers will have a higher chance of getting value-for-money deals by buying resale properties. If you think about it, it is actually quite intuitive. After all, developers are in the business of selling properties for profits. With many of them having ample financial reserves, how cheaply do you think they will sell their new units for? 

Resale properties on the other hand are bought from other owners, who can be selling for a variety of reasons. While some of the homeowners may be savvy investors, there will definitely be others who need to dispose their property urgently and are prepared to sell their unit at a discount.

It is possible to get a good deal on a resale property

I have personally come across numerous value-for-money deals. Let me share one such deal that my company helped a client secure. In late 2009, I was helping a client find an investment property. As he did not want to over-stretch himself, the investment budget was set at $700,000. After several weeks of searching, we eventually found a suitable unit that was going for $650,000. Based on my company’s research, we knew that it was a good deal as the asking price of similar sized units in the same development was about $100,000 more than the asking price for that unit. In addition, we found out that the seller was parting with his property for a loss of more the $50,000. All these were indications of a value-for-money unit and we were confident that my client would have easily made a tidy profit had he decided to flip the unit.

We later found out that the owners were willing to let the unit go at a discount because they were going through a divorce and wanted to quickly divide the assets. From this experience, it reaffirmed my belief that there are plenty of good resale deals. It is just a matter of how diligent we are in our search to find them.

The benefits of buying directly from the developer

That said, I am not implying that buyers should totally avoid new sales as there are advantages to buying properties direct from developers. Firstly, when someone buys a property directly from developers, they will be entitled to a one year Defects Liability Period (DLP) that starts when the development receives its Temporary Occupancy Permit (TOP). During the DLP, any defects found will be rectified by the developer. Resale units do not have such liability periods and buyers will have to rectify any defects at their own expense.

Another advantage in new sale purchases is that buyers generally are able to choose the unit they want. However this is dependent on how buoyant the property market is at that point in time. Nonetheless, under normal market conditions, buyers are able to select the units they desire.

Lastly, payment schemes for new and resale purchases are different. New sale buyers can opt for a progressive payment method, while resale buyers will have to start serving their mortgage based on the full loan amount after the sale is completed. While there are pros and cons for new and resale properties, I feel that resale properties will be a better bet for those who are looking for value-for-money deals.

Sabana REIT: Being stubborn?

I have been waiting for a chance to initiate a position in Sabana REIT at 92.5c, its historical low. I have been described by some as stubborn for not giving in and buying at 1 bid higher. Well, it was this same stubborn behaviour that got me into Cache Logistics Trust at 91.5c instead of 94.5c recently. I am investing for income and yield is a major consideration and, therefore, the entry price is a major consideration.


Of course, I am not blind to the power of market sentiments and that is where TA comes in. If you remember, I changed tact on First REIT and revised my buying price higher because of technical signals which suggested strength recently. I also bought more units in Cache Logistics Trust at 92.5c. Nothing is set in stone.

With Sabana REIT, the technicals are still weak and there is a chance of its unit price going lower. So, I will continue to wait at 92.5c. OK, as a hedge, I would put in a buy queue at 93c too. To those who have said I am stubborn, well, this shows that you are wrong and this makes me happy.

Easily contented, I am, and to bed with a smile, I will.

Related post:
Sabana REIT: 92.5c is near.

CapitaMalls Asia: Partial divestment at $1.78.

In my last blog post on CapitaMalls Asia, I suggested that I could divest at $1.78 and I did so today. Using a Fibo fan, it is interesting to see how opening at $1.78 today is exactly where we find resistance provided by the 61.8% fanline. 61.8%, being one of the three golden ratios, is likely to be a strong resistance and so it was today.


If price action should break the resistance provided by the 61.8% fanline in the next couple of sessions, we could see the 100dMA tested as resistance ultimately. This is currently at $1.89. Sounds exciting? Of course it does but there is $1.83 to contend with first as that is likely to be a very strong resistance too. Sounds tougher now, doesn't it? This is especially so when we realise that volume has been reducing in the last few sessions (see orange line).

One wonders if the trendline support that started on 15 March could hold or would it break. If price should pull back in the next session, support is at $1.73. If the hypothesis that we could be entering a rangebound, sideways trading turns out to be correct, we should take heed of the Stochastics which shows a bearish crossover to be completed in overbought territory. This hypothesis finds support in the ADX as well which, at the moment, suggests that there is no strong trend in this counter's price action.

Having made a partial divestment at $1.78 today, I would still benefit from a continuing upward movement in price if it should take place. If price should weaken instead, I would be able to load up with less reservation.

Related post:
CapitaMalls Asia: Testing resistance.

AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT: Insights.

With the advanced distribution of 0.285c per unit on 28 March, the next distribution is going to be modest and I estimate it to be about 0.215c per unit. This is likely to be payable sometime in June.

In the recent madness of heavy selling, I increased my exposure to this REIT at 20c and 19.5c. It is currently my largest investment in the stock market by market value. With an expected DPU of 2c per year and with a set of stronger numbers in its books, this is a strong proposition for anyone who is investing for income.


As it is climbing out of oversold territory after the recent sell down, there could possibly be room for capital appreciation as well from the current levels. The ADX is declining and this suggests that the downtrend is weakening and the -DIs are falling as well. The MACD is rising and already set to form a higher high. Things are looking more benign but I am under no illusion that any upward climb would be up a wall of worries and that the REIT's unit price remains in a longer term downtrend which started on 17 Sep 2010. That resistance is currently at 22c.

In an article today in The EDGE, it was revealed that the manager "also aims to grow its portfolio by about $200 million, its chief executive officer Nicholas McGrath told Reuters in an interview. “We have an increasing bias towards business parks and high-tech space,” said McGrath". So, more rights issues and private placements are probably to be expected. As long as these are beneficial to unitholders, I have nothing to complain about. Indeed, I am sitting on some nice paper gains from its last rights issue while the distribution yield remains very attractive.

Apart from acquisitions, "AA Reit is also looking at redeveloping and enhancing several of its warehouses, logistic and manufacturing facilities as they currently have underutilized plot ratios. This would help the reit to boost its gross floor area and rental income, McGrath said." This, I find most heartening. I am looking forward to more good news from this REIT.



Related post:
AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT: Lower gearing.


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