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Soup Restaurant: Gain of $7.7m.

Saturday, June 16, 2012

On 14 June, Soup Restaurant confirmed the sale of its stake in YES F&B Group Pte Ltd. The consideration is S$7.9m which represents an excess of some S$7.7m over the cost of investment of the Group at the end of FY2011.



The net tangible assets (NTA) per share and consolidated earnings per share (EPS) of Soup Restaurant will be positively impacted in the current FY2012. The former would see an increase of 1.18c per share while the latter would see an increase of 1.05c per share.

The completion of such a sale is not going to happen immediately. It is going to take some time but the rising OBV seems to be telling us that smart money is accumulating shares of Soup Restaurant even as its share price suffers from some weakness in recent sessions.



I bought some shares recently at 12.3c. If I do not make money from this investment, at least I would get a 15% discount when I dine at Soup Restaurant outlets in future as a shareholder. ;p

See announcement: here.

Related post:
Soup Restaurant: Special dividend?

China Minzhong: High volume white candle day.

Wednesday, June 13, 2012

Having added to my long position in China Minzhong recently, believing that it was not a time to sell, I am pleased to say that I seem to be on the same page as Mr. Market now.

I added more to my long position today as share price broke resistance provided by the 20dMA at 57c on the back of very high volume in the morning. Volume is the fuel that drives rallies and the high volume breakout could see some follow through.

Fundamentally undervalued, China Minzhong was, technically, also very oversold. However, with the relentless selling by Mr. Market and decline in share price, the technicals are pretty damaged and it would take some time to repair.



The share price is in a downtrend; there is no doubt about it. Drawing a trend line shows us where resistance could be found over time in the event of a price recovery. Shortists who might have covered their shorts today could come out of the woodwork once the share price is at resistance.

In the meantime, the rising momentum oscillators suggest that selling pressure continues to ease and if buying pressure should continue to overcome the sellers, a test of trend line resistance is on the horizon.

The resistance provided by the declining 50dMA is something to watch out for as, if I were to hazard a guess, sellers would be out in force then. Immediate support is now provided by the 20dMA, formerly resistance at 57c.

Related post:
China Minzhong: Too cheap to sell.

Buying a piece of real estate within your means.

This blog post is part of ASSI's voluntary community service to help raise awareness on personal financial planning. Sounds altruistic, doesn't it? Well, it doesn't cost me anything.

Sky Habitat. 509 units in two 38 storey towers. Price: $1,700 psf!

From the CPF Board:

Buying a house is the single most expensive financial commitment for most people. This decision can be scary if you have not done your sums. It is worse if you have committed to a home you cannot afford.

If you haven't given much thought to your home purchase, use the checklist created by the CPF Board
 to guide you through your decision making.

Take part in an online quiz to win attractive prizes: http://www.cpf.gov.sg/imsavvy/ayr_list.asp?catid=2



Related post:
Buying a private property?

Olam: Share price up on buy backs.



I have always thought Olam's gearing level quite scary. Then again, it is the same with Noble and Wilmar although not as highly geared as Olam. I was told that their business models are such that high gearing level is nothing to worry about. Indeed, Mr. Market seemed to think so as their share prices were sky high once upon a time.

Gearing is a double edged sword and if a business is able to magnify its returns through gearing, then, higher gearing would intensify the returns many times over. However, in down times, things could turn really ugly. Then again, in the current environment of very low interest rates, borrowers are shouldering much lighter burdens.

When Olam announced that they are buying back shares from the market, my immediate reaction was a positive one. Hey, the management are confident in their own business and are walking the talk. However, when we remember that it still has plenty of debt in its books, it doesn't seem to make much sense anymore.

Kim Eng has this to say:
Share price jumps on buyback mandate. Olam’s share price has jumped 11% since the company announced last Friday that it has commenced a share buyback programme. While such a move is usually a positive sign, the circumstances for Olam seem rather unusual. Fundamentals-wise, other than to deter the short sellers, we do not think it is necessarily an enhancive step for shareholders. Borrowing money to purchase shares. The case for a share buyback is stronger for companies with piles of idle cash coupled with strong operating cash flows. Olam, however, is considered highly leveraged with net gearing of 189% and adjusted net gearing of 42% as at FY6/12. Since listing in 2004, its operating cash flow has been positive only in 2006 and 2009 as funds were needed for expansionary working capital.

Kim Eng has a SELL recommendation on Olam with a TP of $1.43.


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