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Saizen REIT: Buy signal.

Friday, March 5, 2010


For the first time in weeks, we have a buy signal for Saizen REIT in the MACD on the weekly chart as the price closed at 16.5c.  We see how the MACD seems to be pulling away ever so slightly from the signal line.  This is a positive sign.


On the daily chart, the MACD continues to pull away from the signal line further away into positive territory.  20dMA and 50dMA continue to rise in their merged form, providing a strong support.  The Bollinger bands squeezed four sessions ago and are expanding now, marking a departure from lower volatility as price sets off in one direction, which is up, in this case.
The MFI has formed a higher high which marks positive buying momentum.  Using the technical tool, Ichimoku, we see that Saizen REIT's price has emerged from the upper limits of the cloud (the translucent blue area) and this means that it has emerged from resistance and is free to move higher.

It might still be early days but the signs are promising.  We will need confirmation next week on whether Saizen REIT's price will continue its positive movement.  Good luck to fellow unitholders.

Genting SP: Stale bulls' second chance?

Genting SP experienced a white candle today on increased volume.  As the price touched 91.5c, approaching the 50wMA (93.5c), it lost momentum and closed at 90.5c.  Volume, although higher, is not significantly so.  The suggestion is, therefore, that the buy ups are half hearted.

The MFI and Stochastics are still in oversold regions and seem to suggest that if a reversal does happen, it is not unexpected.  We might want to remember that in a bearish scenario, MFI and Stochastics can stay oversold for a very long time.  MFI and Stochastics are also more accurate indicators in a trendless situation.



So, the price won't go higher?  If the 50wMA (93.5c) is taken out in the next session, we might see the price rising to the 20dMA, which is descending sharply and should be at 97c then.  All eyes would be on whether the price action would be able to break through the 20dMA to close higher, failing which, a resumption of the downtrend is more likely. I still see strong supports provided by the 100wMA (74c) and the 200wMA (70c) then. 

Do people really believe that the opening of Universal Studios on 18 March would have a huge positive impact on Genting SP in the near term?  The jury is still out.  More likely, this upmove is the stale bulls' second chance to reduce exposure or to get out totally as the downtrend is still intact.  Short sellers should find shorting closer to resistance almost irresistable given the bearish technical indicators.


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