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First REIT: Buying more?

Saturday, March 19, 2011

I like First REIT and it is a large investment in my portfolio. Although, fundamentally, I think 72.5c/unit is a fairly attractive price, technically, it looks rather weak. This is why I have not added to my long position in the REIT in the current environment.


Technically, the REIT tested resistance at 72.5c in the last session on the back of low volume. If it did manage to break immediate resistance, it would meet with resistance at 73.5c and 74c. If volume stays tepid, chances of resistance at 72.5c being overcome are rather low. Of the 450 lots which changed hands in the last session, 321 lots were sold down at 72c.

The downside proposition looks stronger. The rising 200dMA should provide stronger support at 70c which is a psychologically important round number. I would probably add to my position closer to this level. Having said this, I might be seeing the beginnings of positive divergences on the daily chart and we could see price rebounding quite smartly if they are valid.


Referring to the weekly chart, it is quite obvious that the uptrend is intact and this, to me, means that any short term weakness is an opportunity to accumulate on the cheap.

Related post:
First REIT: Is the bear just resting?

Cache Logistics Trust: Positive divergences.

Friday, March 18, 2011

I initiated a long position recently in this Trust on 15 March at 91.5c. That decision was made mostly on fundamentals. The technical consideration was that 91.5c was the lowest it ever hit since its IPO but it went on to touch 91c on the same day. I was even musing as to whether it would hit 88c next which, incidentally, is its NAV/unit.

Today, I decided to rely on the many positive divergences in the daily chart of CLT and I added to my long position with additional purchases at 92.5c. The counter closed at 94c today, forming a long wickless white candle in the process. Volume was higher than the session before too.


However, closing at 94c means that the downtrend is still intact. If there should be a follow through next week, we would see the downtrend broken and price could rise to test resistance at 96c as provided by the merged 100d and 50d MAs or even 97c which is where we find the 200dMA.

Related post:
Cache Logistics Trust: Initiated long position at 91.5c


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