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ARA: Divested at $1.26 and $1.30.

Wednesday, October 12, 2011

Trading volume for ARA expanded today, being the highest in six sessions, which helped to form a long wickless white candle. This is the most bullish of candles. Could we see its share price climbing higher tomorrow? We could.


However, I have completely divested my long position in ARA and would not be able to benefit from further appreciation in its share price, if any. Completely? Yes. My overnight sell orders at $1.26 and $1.30 were both filled today. So, does it mean that I believe that ARA's share price has peaked for now? I don't know if it has peaked but I feel that it is nearing a longer term and, most likely, stronger resistance.


Longer term resistance? Connecting the highs of 31 May, 1 Aug and 1 Sep will give us a clear trendline which approximates the declining 50dMA which is at $1.32 thereabouts. If this resistance could be overcome, we could see the counter's share price moving higher. Otherwise, it would retrace to supports.


I simply followed my TA (for what it is worth) and divested as the gap at $1.26 was filled and at $1.30 which is just one bid away from gap fill at $1.305. The latter was filled after the market closed at 5.04pm.

Good luck to all who are still vested.

Related post:
ARA: Partial divestment at $1.18.

Tea with AK71: A short fairy tale!

I would like to share this fairy tale (which could be a reality for some of us):


Thanks to a cboxer, Patty, for sharing this with me.

I hope you enjoyed it as much as I did. ;-p

ARA: Partial divestment at $1.18.

Tuesday, October 11, 2011

On 7 October, I said in a blog post that the 61.8% Fibo line "approximates $1.18 and this is also where gap close could take place if the resistance at $1.16 could be taken out convincingly". My overnight sell order at $1.18 was filled.


Closing at $1.205 is exactly where we find the declining 20dMA today. This also coincides with the declining trendline connecting the tops of 1, 9 and 21 Sep. So, it explains why it was such a strong resistance.


With the MACD forming a bullish crossover with the signal line in negative territory, we could see a continuation of this rebound. A necessary condition would be higher volume if price should attempt to push higher. Notice how volume has reduced as price inched higher in recent sessions. This is most probably unsustainable.

Overcoming resistance at $1.205 in the next session convincingly could see buyers piling back into the stock which could then see gap closing at $1.26 and perhaps even at $1.305. The latter is still possible since the declining 50dMA approximates $1.32 and provides some breathing room.


Related post:
ARA: Partial divestment at $1.155.


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