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Tea with AK71: Climate change.

Monday, August 6, 2012

Let us take a break from all the hustle and bustle of our lives. Let us think about the world and if we are helping to make a difference.

Beijing was hit by the worst rainfall in 60 years last month.


The relentless, weather gone crazy type of heat that has blistered the USA and other parts of the world in recent years is so rare that it can't be anything but man-made global warming...

The research says that the likelihood of such temperatures occurring from the 1950s through the 1980s was rarer than one in 300, Now, the odds are closer to one in 10...

The increase in the chance of extreme heat, drought and heavy downpours in certain regions is so huge that scientists should stop hemming and hawing... AP



Mother Nature will find a way to right the imbalances. In Beijing, the official pollution index, which had showed an unhealthy rating before the storm hit, registered “excellent” after the storm, with the air noticeably free of its normal acrid smell. Full story: here.

If we do not make changes, Mother Nature will change things her way.

Related post:
Tea with AK71: Just storms?

Wilmar: Touched a new low.

Sunday, August 5, 2012

In the last session, Wilmar's share price touched a new low of $3.18. Many market participants are wondering if they should go long here. Of course, conventional wisdom would say wait for the sellers to be done selling.



So, are the sellers done selling? The OBV shows that distribution activity has not ceased. However, both MFI and MACD have not formed lower lows as compared to May 2012 when share price was higher but declining. Together, the technicals tell me that there are still sellers around but demand has picked up if only barely so.

Technically very weak, we could see lower prices for Wilmar's shares if the current floor fails to hold. Immediate support is at $3.18 while immediate resistance is at $3.54.

Although we could hope for a gap fill at $4.65 which is also where we find the declining 200dMA, that is a long shot and unlikely to happen in the near future.

After such a massive selling down, market participants are likely to take whatever gains they can and run for the hills if there should be any run up in share price. So, adopting a trading mentality could be fruitful for anyone interested in going long here.

Related post:
Wilmar: Not a time to sell.


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