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CapitaMalls Asia: Any correction is a buying opportunity.

Saturday, November 3, 2012

CapitaMalls Asia's share price is enjoying a strong follow through after breaking resistance. Further increase in share price is likely to meet stronger resistance at $1.93, the 138.2% Fibo line. Overcoming this resistance level would see the next two golden ratios at $2.00 and $2.07 providing resistance.


It remains to be seen if $1.84 is resistance turned support. Stronger support is at $1.705 as that was a many times tested resistance that finally gave way after a period of seven months. Bears would have to be out in full force and more in order to push the share price below $1.705 as the bulls who missed the boat earlier would likely try to get on the boat at this very price, give or take a couple of bids.

All the daily MAs are rising and the picture has turned nicely bullish. Any correction to test supports would be a buying opportunity.


We reckon there may be opportunities for CMA to monetize some assets in 2013, such as Queensbay Mall and its 50% stake in ION Orchard. With continued strong underlying performance from the malls, we maintain our BUY recommendation. Target price is raised to SGD2.25. (Maybank Kim Eng, 29 Oct 12)

Related post:
CapitaMalls Asia: Broke resistance.

China Minzhong: Accumulate on weakness.

Friday, November 2, 2012

There are a few stocks which I would like to accumulate on weakness in the near term. China Minzhong is one such stock.

Many like Jim Rogers have put forth a convincing case of an impending food crisis. In the event of global food shortages, it is logical to expect food prices to rise. So, investing in food producers seems to make good sense.


Improving numbers, insider buying, an experienced management and the right industry, I believe China Minzhong is a good company to invest in. Also, there could be more positive catalysts and these could push its share price higher.

After hitting a low of 53c in early June, its share price rose to hit a high of 87.5c on 19 Oct. That is a meteoric 65% increase in a short span of 4 months.


The daily chart is showing some fatigue. Some consolidation is to be expected. The immediate support is at 78c. If that should go, next supports are at 74c and 70c. The MACD which is a pure price oscillator suggests that supports could continue to be tested. However, the Chaikin Money Flow does not show any significant outflow of funds which suggests that long holders are not in any hurry to sell. We could see share price doing what Daryl Guppy calls a correction using time which means people waiting on the side hoping to get back in when there is a price correction could be disappointed.


The weekly chart shows quite clearly that the downtrend has reversed. Breaking immediate support could see share price declining to test the 20w MA in the longer term. This currently approximates 71c. As the 20w MA is rising, the longer term support would be a higher value over time. The declining 100w MA, currently at $1.10, could cap any further price increase in the near future.

Buying when there is a test of supports with longer term MAs rising seems like a good idea. However, remember, TA shows where the supports and resistance are but it does not mean that they will be tested.

Related post:
China Minzhong: Opportunity in slowing momentum.

“If food inflation in China remains high, there is a high chance that the management’s revenue target (of 15% growth) could be surpassed.” Maybank-KE keeps a Buy call with $1.16 target. Read full article in The EDGE.


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