SMRT: Breaking every support.

The one and only time I ever blogged about SMRT's stock was in January 2012. Back then, I said that the downtrend was intact and that we could see the share price go lower. That was really a reading of the short term charts. Nothing could have prepared me for what I see today.

SMRT's share price is breaking every single support level and I won't be surprised if it should test the next support at $1.035 soon.

Click to enlarge.

If Maybank Kim Eng is right, SMRT's stock is now only worth $0.60 a share and they arrived at that target price using a PE ratio of 14x. So, even at $0.985 a share which is another support level, SMRT's stock is way too expensive. Yikes!

In the short run, there could be a bounce in the share price as I see higher lows in the momentum oscillators. Selling pressure could ease a bit for a while but the downtrend is very much intact.

Short sellers could renew their efforts in the event of a rebound in share price and they would probably do so as close to the resistance as possible. They could use the 20d MA as a guide and that is at $1.16 now.

Looks like it is going to be a long and bumpy ride down for SMRT's loyal shareholders.

Related posts:
1. SMRT: Downtrend intact.
2. Do not love unless it is worth the loving.
3. When to BUY, HOLD or SELL?

Distribution Reinvestment Plan: First REIT and CIT.

I received a few enquiries from readers as to what I am doing with regards to the Distribution Reinvestment Plans (DRP) offered by First REIT and Cambridge Industrial Trust. I think readers who have been following my blog for a long time would have guessed my answer.

I invest in REITs for income and I will take the distributions in cash, usually. Usually? Yes, usually and I would have said "always" if not for the single instance when I took part in the DRP of AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT's.

So, why did I do it then? Was I being inconsistent?

Well, if I could make money out of a situation and yet not stray from my original intention of investing for income, I am being consistent. That was the case then. So, it was a case of having my cake and eating it too. Why wouldn't I do it?

For those who are unfamiliar with the circumstances surrounding the DRP I am referring to, please read: AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT: DRP.

As for the DRPs offered by First REIT and Cambridge Industrial Trust now, I don't see how they are compelling offers apart from the fact that unit holders who take part will be saving on brokerage fees and other costs which would be incurred if they were to make the purchases in the open market instead.

First REIT is offering to allot new units at a price of S$1.0163 per unit. Market price is now $1.02 per unit.

Cambridge Industrial Trust is offering to allot new units at a price of S$ 0.6737 per unit. Market price is now $0.68 per unit.

As anyone can see, there is only a very slight discount to the current market price in both cases.

So, unless we are thinking of increasing our exposure to the REITs at current prices anyway for some reason, it would not make much sense to take part in the DRPs.

I have shared the reasons why I am not adding to my investments in S-REITs in earlier blog posts but those reasons are good for me. They might not be good for everyone.

Having said this, I still think that REITs are relevant investments for income and would not hesitate to add to my long positions if Mr. Market were to make me offers too good to refuse.

Related posts:
1. 9M 2013 income from REITs and more.
2. 2013 full year income from S-REITs.
3. Strategy to grow wealth and augment income.