Misled into earning 6.30% interest in 4 years?

Almost a year ago, I had a blog post titled "How to earn 6.30% interest in 4 years?"

Back then, I said I found the ad objectionable because it was misleading.

Although I did not say so at that point in time, I was also wary of how interest rates were more likely to rise than not in future. This would have been abundantly clear in other blog posts I have published.

Today, a one year fixed deposit could get us as much as 1.6% per annum. A two year fixed deposit could get us 1.8% per annum.

With interest rates more likely to go up in future, a person who chose not "to earn 6.3% interest in 4 years" last year is probably going to do much better than someone who did.

Think and think again before buying products like this.

Remember, nobody cares more about our money than we do.

Related posts:
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2. Nobody cares more about our money than we do.
3. Why fixed deposits and not structured deposits?

A conversation on the CPF and investing in stocks.

A conversation which I think might motivate a few others here:

Hi AK,

I have been going through your blog on max up minimum sum. I really like the idea to have govt help to build our retirement fund.

Can i seek your opinion that if my SA has not hit the minimum sum of 161k, is it better to do cash top-up (even more than 7k, no tax rebate beyond that though) to SA? Is when we hit the minimum sum, then we do VC to further build up our CPF account. Whats your view?

Thanks and regards,
G

Hi G,

If you want to give your SA a boost, I think doing the MS top-up is a good idea. You will hit the minimum sum faster and get income tax relief (up to the first $7K yearly) to boot. Of course, it really has to be money that you won't be needing for anything else. Remember that the process is irreversible.

However, if we do this yearly, we would be saving a lot in taxes and we are also very likely to receive a very meaningful lump sum payment at age 55 (with most of the money being from the government). :)

Best wishes,
AK

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Hi AK,

So am i right to say we should only do VC after we have max up SA to MS and not before?

Thanks and regards,
G

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Hi G,

If you want to benefit from the income tax relief, yes, that line of thought is logical. :)

However, remember that we can only do VC if our mandatory contributions do not hit the contribution cap set by the CPF Board. This cap is revised yearly. I believe it is $31,450 for 2015, for example.

Best wishes,
AK

Thanks AK for the confirmation. Your blog really change my view on CPF and how we can build our retirement fund.

In your view, do you think govt will keep increasing the minimum sum? I dont think there is issue with PMET but for those low or low-middle income earner might be tough as they might not meet the MS by the time they retire.

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Hi G,

The minimum sum will increase yearly by about 3% to keep pace with inflation. This is a given.

The CPF is really to help the common people. You can tell this by how there is extra interest income for the first $60K in our account and how there is a limit to how much we can top up our CPF accounts. It is not meant to benefit the rich.

We need to educate those who need the CPF most for a financially more secure retirement. If lower income workers diligently top up their CPF-SA while staying financially prudent, the magic of compounding will help them have a meaningful retirement income for life. They need to start doing this as early as possible. :)

Best wishes,
AK

Hi AK,

Yes, i can appreciate after going through your blog. Thank you for the enlightenment.

I attended few of your sessions and like the way you analyse stocks. Can you share how you filter stocks, any key criteria before you put in your shortlist and start going through in details?

Thanks and regards,
G

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Hi G,

Oh, you did? I am glad you enjoyed the sessions. :)

Well, I cannot give you a set of criteria. Like Charlie Munger would say:

"I can never make it easy by saying. ‘Here are three things’. You have to derive it yourself to ingrain it in your head for the rest of your life."

However, I would tell you my starting point. I invest mostly for income. So, whether a stock pays a dividend is an important consideration. Then, pick it up from there. If you were to invest for growth, you would have a different starting point. It is important to match our motivation and our methods. :)

I have a section in my blog's right sidebar titled "Food for Thought". You might want to read the books listed there. Good primers. :)

Best wishes,
AK

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