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STI shows relative strength

Friday, February 19, 2010

The STI exhibited relative strength today, declining 0.44%, even as the HSE crashed 2.59%.  Closing at 2,757.14 keeps the STI within its uptrend channel.




Genting SP held its ground amid a high volume sell off which pushed its price to touch an intra day low of 90c.  Closing at 94c, it's only 1c lower than yesterday's close.  The decline's rapid pace has been thwarted for now.  Almost a black hammer, there is a chance of a rebound next week for this counter.  Resistance is at $1.01, provided by the 38.2% Fibo line.  I see a stronger resistance at $1.04, a candlestick support turned resistance.  It is also the 50% Fibo line.  Any such rebound is an opportunity to reduce exposure.




AusGroup has a black candle day.  The good news is that it happened with much reduced volume.  MACD has formed a bullish crossover but being still below zero, positive momentum has not returned.  MFI has turned down which shows a slowing of buying momentum.



On the weekly chart, we have an inverted white hammer which suggests a probability of price closing higher next week.  The bugbear?  Volume is very low and this does not make any upmove in price sustainable.  A continuing rebound would allow stale bulls to reduce exposure and is likely to meet with resistance for this reason.  The weekly chart confirms that the target of 64c I have identified for AusGroup in the event of a continuing rebound is plausible.  Any long position in AusGroup taken this week is a punt at best.




With the continuing decline today, Golden Agriculture's price action has formed a lower high at 57c.  However, the pullback is on relatively lower volume which leads to a reasonable suggestion that any decline will not be severe.  Having said this, the lack of buying momentum could see the counter drifting lower.  Critical support remains at 50c thereabouts.  It will most likely hold as the rising 100dMA reaches 49c today.  I continue to like the company's fundamentals and will accumulate at supports.

2 comments:

AK71 said...

Hi Investment Catcher,

Konichiwa. I have added your blog to my blogroll, Traders and Investors. I notice that your blog is in Japanese and I'm sure people who can read Japanese would find it useful. However, you might want to add a translation device in your blog so that people not conversant with Japanese could understand as well. Good idea?

Domo arigato gozaimasu.

AK71 said...

GENTING SP'S FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FOR YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2009:

Net loss for the financial year is at S$277.5M, more than doubled that of the previous financial year at $124.8M.

This was released after the market closed today. How will the market react to this on Monday? Not good, I would imagine. More downside cannot be discounted.


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