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Tea with AK71: Money making.

Thursday, April 15, 2010

This might be the beginning of another series like "Replies from AK71".  This time, it is "Tea with AK71".  Imagine having tea with me one afternoon, realising much to your dismay what a talkative person I am, and listening to my thoughts on myriad issues.  Small talk, that's exactly what "Tea with AK71" is going to be about.  Another side of AK71?  For sure.  Darjeeling, anyone?

"Something I say more and more as I grow older is, "we can't make all the money in the world".  It is probably something that many others say too but how many actually appreciate the essence of this simple phrase?  When I miss a money making opportunity, I would shrug my shoulders and say, "what to do?".  I do not see any point in berating myself or even making a promise that it will not happen again because I am almost sure that it will happen again. 

Picture by Montwerx.


"I always say that chasing after perfection is like chasing after a rainbow.  We can keep running towards a rainbow but will we get closer to the rainbow? The rainbow is an optical phenomenon after all.  Pretty to look at but unreachable.  Don't be too hard on ourselves. 

"I make my money and others make theirs.  We have different paths and make our money our own ways.  We can share our methods and our experience but we would probably not have the same experience. This is natural and there's nothing wrong with it."

Charts in brief: 14 April 10.

Wednesday, April 14, 2010

A most sterling performance by the STI today as it surged 48.14 pts to end the session at 3,019.74 on heavy volume. People vested in NOL, DBS, UOB and SembCorp, just to name a few, would have made quite a bit of money.



CapitaMalls Asia:  Despite an impressive 1Q 2010 report, its share price barely moved and closed up 1c at $2.30 as it went XD.  Consolidation continues.
Earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) were $110.9 million for 1Q 2010, 174% higher than the $40.5 million for 1Q 2009.



NOL: An impressive white candle day as price shot past the recent high of $2.24 to close at $2.30 after touching a high of $2.34.  We have a buy signal on the MACD.  OBV and MFI have both turned up. With such strong momentum, it is likely to power ahead.  Closing above $2.30 convincingly would give an eventual target of $2.60.




Golden Agriculture:  Another higher low formed on the MFI. Price action formed an inverted white hammer, another reversal signal.  Signals continue to be mixed for Golden Agriculture.  Will the improving buying momentum push the price higher?  Initial support has been established at 60c.  Channel resistance is at 64.5c.

Courage Marine: OBV turned up sharply as volume increased significantly.  Price closed up 0.5c at 22.5c, forming a long legged doji, a reversal signal, as it touched 23c, the previous high.  If the reversal signal is valid, price should find initial support at 21c.  If the chart pattern plays out (neckline at 21.5c), we should see gap resistance at 23.5c taken out and the chart pattern resistance at 25.5c tested with a possibility of a push to the eventual target of 27c.  Could we be seeing a beautiful symmetry in the making?




SPH: Volume expanded as price touched a high of $3.99, just 1c shy of the target of $4.00.  MFI has pushed deeper into overbought territory and OBV has turned up sharply.  Forming a white spinning top today as price closed at $3.97, will it push higher tomorrow?  $4.00 remains the resistance to watch.  If this is taken out, the next target is $4.20.  A retracement would find initial support at $3.84.

AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT: Buy signal seen on the MACD.  Price touched a high of 23c before closing at 22c on much higher volume. OBV turned up.  MFI has formed a higher low.  22c is still the resistance to watch but if price closes decisively above 22c in the near future, it would be resistance turned support.  23c is the immediate target.  Immediate support is at 21.5c.

 Related post:
Charts in brief: 13 April 10.

Charts in brief: 13 April 10.

Tuesday, April 13, 2010

Golden Agriculture: A black spinning top.  This is the seventh reversal signal in a row and seeing how price action has detached from the upper limits of the Bollinger band, a retracement to supports is probable: 20dMA is at 58c and 50dMA is at 56c.  MFI formed a higher low but failed to form a higher high today.  The OBV shows a lack of strength in accumulation.  Of course, as usual, an upward movement in price with high volume would negate all bearish signals.  This does not look likely.


Saizen REIT: Some profit taking happening today.  17c is initial support.  If this goes, a much stronger support is at 16.5c.
Notice of a Director's (including a director who is a substantial shareholder) Interest and Change in Interest: 12-04-2010, Starich purchased 1,000,000 Warrants on the open market.  Mr Arnold Ip Tin Chee is one of the beneficiaries of a trust which directly own Starich. Hence, Mr Ip is deemed to be interested in the 1,000,000 warrants held by Kim Eng Securities Pte Ltd in favour of Starich.

Healthway Medical:  The counter traded at one price only today, 16.5c.  The Bollinger bands are squeezing, it seems, and this usually means an increased volatility in price action is not far off.  16c remains a critical support to watch.  On the face of it, things are not looking good for this counter.

SPH: A long legged doji confirmed the black candle sell signal from the previous session.  Sell signal confirmed on the MACD as well.  Price has detached from the upper limits of the Bollinger bands.  Support is at $3.84. 
SPH has declared an interim dividend of 7 cents per share.



Courage Marine: Although on signifcantly reduced volume, we have another black candle today.  With MFI in the overbought region and with OBV turning down, the probability is higher for the counter to retrace to support.  I see initial support at 21c.



AusGroup: In my last TA, I said "Price gapped up only to form a white inverted hammer which seems to suggest that fatigue is setting in. MFI has entered overbought territory. A perfect time to take some profit off the table? I think so." A big black candle day today as price closed lower at 66.5c.  However, of note is the much lower volume on this pullback. The selldown has been mild.  Any further selldown would find initial support at 63.5c

Related post:
Charts in brief:12 April 10.

Charts in brief: 12 April 10.

Monday, April 12, 2010

CapitaMalls Asia:  No follow through on what had seemed like a promising up day in the previous session as a wickless black candle was formed today.  It is reasonable to assume from today's action that this counter is trapped in a narrow range between $2.33 and $2.28.  When everyone finally tires of looking at the charts, this counter might just surprise on the upside.

Golden Agriculture:  A long legged doji.  This is a possible reversal signal as price does not seem able to break resistance at 62.5c.  However, the MFI has formed a higher low and OBV continues to rise.  Golden Agriculture might just try to push higher.  Channel resistance is at 64.5c this week.

Saizen REIT: Initial resistance remains at 17.5c. Volumes on down days have been relatively lower and this suggests a strong underlying support.  A retest of 18c is still very likely.  The descending 100wMA is also at 18c and this is likely to be a strong resistance.

Healthway Medical:  Today's price action dashed the hopes of stale bulls.  The counter's downward bias is re-asserting itself. Critical support remains at 16c.

SPH: Sell signal seen on the MACD.  Big black candle day as price closed at $3.94.  MFI is in overbought territory.  A pullback should find initial support at $3.84.

Courage Marine:  A premature attempt to move higher, it seems.  Price ended unchanged. Any retreat in price should find support at 21c.  I would accumulate on weakness as improving fundamentals make this counter more promising over the next few months.

AusGroup: Closed at 67.5c resistance level.  Reached a high of 69c. Next resistance is at 70c.  Price gapped up only to form a white inverted hammer which seems to suggest that fatigue is setting in. MFI has entered overbought territory. A perfect time to take some profit off the table? I think so.

Related post:
Charts in brief: 9 April 10.


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