Soilbuild REIT had to juggle not one, not two but three hot potatoes up until last month.
With the sale of KTL Offshore's property to its sponsor, they have two hot potatoes left (i.e. Technics and NK Ingredients).
In a blog in September last year (see related post at the end of this blog), I said that with the reduced DPU assumed then, if we demanded an 8% yield, we should only be buyers at 66c a unit.
Now, with KTL Offshore gone, with lower income, we won't be wrong to downgrade the REIT.
I wonder also if the REIT would see lower valuations which would impact its NAV and, therefore, its gearing level?
Estimating a more aggressive 10% reduction in the DPU assumed in September 2017, all else remaining equal, we might be looking at a full year DPU of 4.8c.
At 71c a unit, that is a prospective distribution yield of 6.76%.
From an industrial REIT with leasehold properties in Singapore, to me, it hardly seems adequate.
I say this partly because a REIT distributes cash flow and does not retain earnings.
So, the relatively low distribution yield is just not attractive enough for me.
If we demand an 8% yield, then, we should only be buying at 60c a unit with the reduced DPU assumption.
If we are less demanding, a 7.5% yield means we should pay no more than 64c a unit.
However, if we demand a 7.5% yield, we can get that by investing in AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT which has a lower gearing level too.
How has the investment in Soilbuild REIT turned out for me?
To be fair, Soilbuild REIT's business parks (with relatively long remaining land leases to boot) are attractive and they were the main reason why I invested in the REIT in 2H 2014.
Unfortunately, bad things happen sometimes.
I believe that selling at NAV is a good outcome although I estimate a capital loss of around $4,000 from the sale.
Having said this, I have received more than $17,000 in income distributions from the REIT since I first became a unit holder.
Yes, I did say before that my investment in the REIT was a relatively small one.
So, roughly, the investment returned more than 8% per annum.
Not fantastic but, as an investment for income, not too shabby either.
Having plonked quite a bit of money in SingTel and ComfortDelgro in 4Q 2017, the money from this sale will shore up my cash position.
Related post:
Decline in Soilbuild REIT's DPU likely.