I did not plan on blogging again until the new year when I would share my 4Q 2021 results.
Invest in Alibaba Group? High risk, high reward?
Investing with some common sense.
Have a more secure financial future in an uncertain world by creating a stream of reliable passive income with high yields.
Ever since the CPFB introduced a colorful pie chart of our CPF savings a few years ago, I would look forward to mine every year like a teena...
I did not plan on blogging again until the new year when I would share my 4Q 2021 results.
Posted by AK71 at 12:00 PM 10 comments
Labels:
Alibaba,
investment
This is a short blog in reply to a reader's comment in my last blog which was about my largest REIT investments.
| Source: IREIT Global. |
Posted by AK71 at 10:10 AM 16 comments
Labels:
AIMS-AMP Capital Industrial REIT,
IREIT,
REITs
The last time I had a blog on this topic was in April 2020.
Back then, Mr. Market suffered a dramatic breakdown and took quite a long time to recover.
After almost 2 years, it still looks like it will be a while more before we are out of the woods, no thanks to the new Omicron variant of COVID-19.
The world is the way it is because there are too many greedy people, too many selfish people, too many ignorant people and too many malicious people.
Very unfortunate but very often bad things happen because of irresponsible human behavior.
If we are not careful, we might see Singapore becoming a "true democracy" with people against vaccination marching in the streets which, of course, would give the virus opportunities to infect even more people and possibly mutate again.
I feel that having a choice is a good thing but social responsibility is more important because we live in a society.
If we are not part of any society, if we live all alone on an island, then, we are free from social responsibility.
Personal freedom of choice is plain rubbish if we choose to put everyone else at risk.
It is similar to what I said before in many blogs in the past about being financially responsible because we shouldn't be a burden to society.
Some readers might remember my blogs on those protestors in Hong Lim Park asking for their CPF money to be "returned" to them.
See:
CPF: So near and yet so far?
Anyway, before I digress further which I am inclined to do, here is the update.
Largest REIT investments (each $100,000 or larger in market value.)
My largest investment in a REIT used to be AIMS APAC REIT (formerly AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT.)
It has been overtaken by my investment in IREIT Global which used to be smaller in size.
IREIT Global is now my largest investment in a REIT as I added to my investment several times when Mr. Market went into a depression because of the COVID-19 pandemic and also due to rights issues to help the REIT fund acquisitions.
Just like AIMS APAC REIT, I believe IREIT Global to be well run.
Recently, for example, they were able to quickly fill up all 5 floors of a property which were being given up by an existing tenant.
I also like that the REIT's insiders have a big stake in the REIT.
So, it is unlikely that they would do anything to hurt unitholders' interest.
See:
IREIT: Good time to buy now?
My second largest investment in a REIT and probably my oldest is AIMS APAC REIT.
Most institutional investors would gravitate towards bigger names with a pedigree such as Ascendas and Mapletree when it comes to industrial REITs.
However, I am a retiree and distribution yield is an important consideration as I am very much interested in cash flow but I try to be careful not to be blinded by high yields.
I have been invested in AIMS APAC REIT since the Global Financial Crisis and, looking back, it has been good to me as an investment for income.
Just like IREIT Global, insiders have a meaningful stake in AIMS APAC REIT and it is unlikely that Mr. George Wang would do anything to hurt unitholders' interest.
There is talk that ESR which has been gobbling up REITs in Singapore is planning to gobble up AIMS APAC REIT as well, having grown their stake in the REIT.
However, unlike ARA Logos, I doubt Mr. George Wang would consider a deal that is less than fair to AIMS APAC REIT if such a deal should ever be proposed.
See:
Should we invest in AIMS APAC REIT?
ESR-REIT gives ARA Logos short end of the stick?
My third largest investment in a REIT was Ascott REIT-BT and that was due to my earlier investment in Ascendas Hospitality Trust.
As I expected the COVID-19 pandemic to have a rather long lasting impact on the hospitality sector, I decided to sell down my stake significantly some time back.
For many months after that, I did not have a 3rd REIT which was greater than $100,000 in market value in my portfolio.
Of course, that changed when I significantly increased my investment in Sabana REIT after ESR's low ball offer to take over the REIT failed.
Sabana REIT is now my third largest investment in a REIT, making a comeback after many years of absence.
See:
AA REIT, IREIT and Ascott REIT-BT.
AHT's investors getting a bad deal?
I do have investments in other REITs but my investments in IREIT Global, AIMS APAC REIT and Sabana REIT are my largest now, being the only ones which are above $100,000 in market value.
Together, I estimate that they generate a bit more than S$70,000 in passive income annually for me.
I have been saying for quite a while that I want a more resilient income generating portfolio and to be less reliant on REITs for income.
However, for income investors, REITs remain a relevant tool and this blog shows my continuing reliance on REITs for income.
Still, I like to think that I have a more resilient income generating portfolio now as I increased my investment in the local banks so that together they were at one time larger than my investments in IREIT Global and AIMS APAC REIT combined.
Since I increased my investment in IREIT Global due to its rights issues, my investment in the local banks together have become smaller than my investments in IREIT Global and AIMS APAC REIT combined but probably not by very much.
Anyway, I get the feeling that I could ramble on and, so, I should really end the blog.
Till the next blog, remember to stay vigilant and be socially responsible as we try not to give COVID-19 any room to grow.
Related posts:
1. Sabana and IREIT to the rescue.
2. Dividends from DBS, OCBC and UOB.
3. Largest REIT investments, April 2020.
Posted by AK71 at 2:38 PM 18 comments
Labels:
REITs
My last blog on ComfortDelgro attracted some very thoughtful comments from readers and if you are interested, read them: HERE.
I said in reply to a comment that I have been trying to build a more resilient investment portfolio for a few years by now.
Most of this effort has been centered on increasing the size of my investment in the local banks.
I believe that I have strengthened my investment portfolio's resilience in the most recent bear market this way.
This short blog is in reply to the latest comment by a reader in the abovementioned blog.
The reader's comment was about Far East Hospitality Trust.
My reply:
Yes, just like SIA and even SIA Engineering, the hospitality sector has been hard hit by the COVID-19 pandemic.Posted by AK71 at 10:40 AM 4 comments
Labels:
Ascendas Hospitality Trust,
DBS,
investment,
OCBC,
REITs,
UOB
After getting two comments from readers on ComfortDelgro, I feel that it might be a good idea to publish my second reply as a short blog.
Posted by AK71 at 10:13 AM 18 comments
Labels:
ComfortDelgro
I woke up to not one, not two, not three but four comments from readers regarding Daiwa House Logistics Trust and I took that as a sign that I would have to take some time off from gaming to blog.
Daiwa House Logistics Trust's IPO ends this Wednesday (24th Nov.)
IPO? I usually avoid IPOs because they are usually priced well for the seller and not for the buyer.
IPO stands for "it's probably overpriced?"
Is it more of the same in this case?
Looking at the information available, as an investment for income, Daiwa House Logistics Trust is not overly attractive to me.
For someone who is new to investing for income and who is just starting to build a portfolio, this could have a place.
However, with a distribution yield of 6.3% to 6.5% which is similar to what my two largest investments in REITs, AIMS APAC REIT and IREIT Global, are offering, Daiwa House Logistics Trust just isn't that attractive to me.
If I do invest in Daiwa House Logistics Trust, it would probably be because I would like more diversification.
However, it would be just geographical diversification which is less meaningful than diversifying into non-REITs.
This is especially so since my wish is to build a more resilient income generating investment portfolio.
Increasing the size of my investments in the local banks, DBS, OCBC and UOB, I believe would be more meaningful and Singapore banks make decent investments for income too.
Bear in mind that the banks pay only a fraction of their earnings as dividends while REITs distribute 90% to 100% of their income to their investors.
In this light, we could even say that the banks are more attractive than Daiwa House Logistics Trust as investments for income as what would be their dividend yields if the banks were to pay 90% of their earnings as dividends?
Banks also benefit from rising interest rates and while REITs can still perform well with higher interest rates when compared to bonds, they might experience some downward pressure.
Having said this, if Daiwa House Logistics Trust should see a significant decline in unit price, I might buy some.
The better investments I have made in REITs have almost always been post IPOs and that is saying something.
If I am wrong, it wouldn't be a tragedy as not making money is not the same as losing money.
Anyway, why am I not excited about this IPO other than the fact that I usually avoid IPOs?
After all, Daiwa House Logistics Trust is Japanese and some of my better investments were Saizen REIT, Croesus Retail Trust and Accordia Golf Trust.
The trio were all Japanese too and delisted subsequently, netting me some very nice gains.
I will continue to talk to myself.
1. Land lease.
Saizen REIT had only freehold Japanese residential buildings.
Croesus Retail Trust and Accordia Golf Trust had mostly freehold Japanese assets.
Daiwa House Logistics Trust will start with mostly leasehold Japanese assets.
Having more leasehold Japanese assets for their IPO helps to bump up their distribution yield as leasehold assets are usually cheaper while still commanding prevailing market rents.
This is especially the case for assets with much shorter remaining land leases.
VIVA Industrial Trust, anyone?
It helps to make the IPO look more attractive to investors.
Having mostly leasehold assets, the distribution yield really should be higher than the 6.3% at IPO.
The impression I get is that the IPO is probably priced more dearly.
If we look at past IPOs of S-REITs with mostly leasehold assets, most of their distribution yields were higher, if I remember correctly.
2. Japanese focus.
The Japanese focus of Daiwa House Logistics Trust might not last long since they have right of first refusal (ROFR) over 11 assets in Vietnam, Malaysia and Indonesia.
They market this as a good thing but one reason why I liked Saizen REIT, Croesus Retail Trust and Accordia Golf Trust was their focus on underappreciated and undervalued Japanese assets.
The Japanese market is probably more stable and less risky when compared to Vietnam, Malaysia and Indonesia.
3. Fund raising.
There are two things here.
We have been seeing some issuance of perpetual bonds by REITs to raise funds and the most notable is probably Lippo Mall Trust.
While perpetual bonds do not increase the gearing level of REITs, all else remaining equal, since they are treated as equity instead of debt, it is a form of financial engineering to make numbers look better.
Still, as long as the funds raised will help to improve performance and generate more income in a sustainable fashion for shareholders, it is a good thing.
I could be wrong but it is the first time I see a REIT having perpetual bonds issued at IPO and that makes me somewhat curious.
The second thing is that with the REIT being relatively small and with a relatively long list of ROFR assets, there could be more fund raising before long especially when the manager says they want to keep gearing below 40%.
Why start with only 14 Japanese assets and mostly leasehold ones with average remaining land lease of about 38 years?
Why not start with a larger portfolio and include most of these ROFR assets of which 17 are mostly Japanese freehold assets instead?
I have a couple of guesses but they are just guesses.
So, Daiwa House Logistics Trust, good or not?
As it is, Daiwa House Logistics Trust might seem decent enough for some as an investment for income but it isn't something I feel I must have in my portfolio.
It isn't screaming "BUY."
References:
1. VIVA Industrial Trust: 9% yield.
2. Saizen REIT.
6. Dividends from DBS, OCBC and UOB.
Posted by AK71 at 9:03 AM 36 comments
Labels:
Daiwa House Logistics Trust
A reader left me a comment asking me to talk to myself on Alibaba as an investment but requested that I do not publish the comment.
Posted by AK71 at 7:50 PM 18 comments
Labels:
Alibaba,
China Minzhong,
investment,
Noble Group
Thanks to a nudge by Siew Mun, I went to read the CPF Amendment Bill 2021.
Some of my many blogs on the CPF have become outdated because of this Bill.
The changes which interest me most are the following and they will take effect from 1 January 2022:
1. Enjoy tax relief when we top up our loved ones' CPF MA.
I have always been curious why the recipient gets income tax relief and not the giver?
Well, this is now fixed.
2. Enjoy up to $16,000 income tax relief when topping up CPF MAs.
We can get up to $8,000 income tax relief for topping up our loved ones' CPF MAs.
We can also get up to $8,000 income tax relief for topping up our own CPF MA.
Take note that this income tax relief cap is shared by the RA, SA and MA.
So, previously, we would not say "Top Up" to MA but "Voluntary Contribution" to MA.
Now, when we inject money into the MA, it is a "Top Up" and it will share the annual income tax relief cap for the RA and SA.
This annual cap was $7,000.
3. Beefing up the MA is no longer part of the CPF Annual Contribution Limit.
This follows from the previous point that injection of money into the CPF MA will be considered a "Top Up" and not a "Voluntary Contribution."
What do all these changes mean for those of us who are actively using the CPF to have a strong foundation in retirement funding?
Would my strategy have changed because of these changes?
In the first 4 years of my life as a working adult, I transferred all my OA savings to my SA to give it a bigger base and more time for compound interest to work its magic.
I would still do that today if I just started my life as a working adult.
If I had extra funds, I would have pumped more money into my SA which would enjoy income tax relief at the same time.
Income tax relief will apply to the first $8,000 of Top Up from next year instead of $7,000.
Now, in my early retirement, I would continue to do yearly Voluntary Contribution to my CPF account up to the prevailing Annual Contribution Limit as I think of the CPF as a AAA rated sovereign bond with attractive coupons.
See:
$1.5 million in CPF savings by doing nothing henceforth.
The difference with this CPF Amendment Bill is that I will be able to inject a bit more money into my CPF account from next year because the MA is now under the "Top Up" scheme and not "Voluntary Contribution."
Since my CPF SA has already hit the prevailing FRS, I cannot do Top Up to my CPF SA anymore.
However, since the Basic Healthcare Sum increases yearly, there will be room for me to Top Up my CPF MA yearly.
I will provide links to this blog in some of my older blogs such as the following:
1. Ways to beef up our CPF savings.
2. Know how to grow our CPF savings?
Reference:
CPF Amendment Bill 2021 Highlights.
Read Siew Mun's comment in this blog's comments section:
Retiring by 40 is a fantasy.
Posted by AK71 at 2:39 PM 23 comments
Labels:
CPF
Imagine a guy in Singapore who is in his 20s.
Posted by AK71 at 10:21 AM 36 comments
Labels:
car,
CPF,
money,
money management,
real estate,
wealth
This is going to be a quick blog.

Posted by AK71 at 2:00 PM 4 comments
Labels:
investment,
REITs