First REIT: Higher quarterly DPU of 2.00c.

First REIT is one of my longest holding investments and currently my second largest investment in an S-REIT.

So, a higher quarterly DPU is going to have a more significant positive impact on passive income received from investments for the full year. The details?

A DPU of 2.00c will be paid on 29 August 2014. XD date is 21 July 2014.

With full income contribution yet to be realised for the recently acquired Siloam Hospital Purwakarta, DPU in the next quarter could see a slight increase, everything else remaining equal.

Gearing is comfortable at 32.9%. Once refinancing of a short term loan facility is completed, First REIT will not have any debt due until 2017. This gives me a peace of mind.



Click to enlarge.

First REIT is still an investment for keeps.

See slides presentation:
First REIT presentation 15 July 2014.

Related post:
A way to a double digit yielding portfolio.

First REIT: Reply from the management.

A reader, Gregg, first shared his concerns regarding Sarang Hospital in First REIT's portfolio here in the comments section: Gregg's comment.

Sarang Hospital

Another reader wrote in with a list of questions for the REIT's management and shared these with me in an email. Here is the email with the replies from the management in red.

1. Noted that there is impairment provided in subsidiary of S$8,136,000 in the statement of total return. Could you advise me the reason of this impairment being provided and which subsidiary? Understand usually DCF was prepared to determine whether impairment is necessary. Since the impairment is being provided, does that means that the present value of the future cash flow is lower than the carrying amount of the investment?

 

We have made some provisions for impairment to our investment in South Korea, Sarang Hospital.

This S$8.1m is the impairment provided at Trust level for Kalmore Investments Pte Ltd, the holding company of Kalmore (Korea) Limited which owned Sarang Hospital. 

 

2. Under note 9 of the financial statements, there is deferred tax income recognised relating to changes in fair value of investment properties of S$11,667,000 despite the fact that there is increase in fair value of investment properties of S$61,334,000 (net) under note 12. Could you advise which property does the S$11m relating to? 

 

The write back of the deferred tax relates to the Indonesia properties mainly due to lower building reinstatement values as provided by the independent valuers, as compared to the net book value of the properties.

 

3. In note 14 of the financial statements, an impairment allowance is provided of S$2.165 million. Please advise which property it is related to and what are the Trust's action to recover this debt. Noted that there was also provision made in prior year of S$547k, is it relating to the same debtor? 

 

The impairment allowance of S$2.165 million was made for Sarang Hospital.  We have taken legal actions in the past two years to recover the debt from the vendor.

 

There is no provision of S$547K make in the prior year however the provision of S$567K was made for amount due (intercompany balance) from Kalmore Investment Pte Ltd (Subsidiary of First REIT) at Trust Level in FY2013.

 

4. Noted that the fair value of Sarang Hospital decreased to S$6.3m compared to purchase price of S$13m. Please advise the reason of 50% decrease in fair value. 

 

·         As the Vendor and Guarantor for the Master Lease Agreement encountered unforeseen financial difficulties, he was unable to fulfill his contracted rental obligation.

 

·         Hence, through the Valuer’s (CBRE) independent assessment and judgement, it was more appropriate to value Sarang Hospital on a “market rental basis”, ignoring the contracted rental in the Master Lease Agreement which was guaranteed by the Vendor.

 

·         Due to the lack of similar comparables in the market, the Valuer has adopted a “proxy approach” to determine the market rent. Apart from the Valuer’s investigations into rentals achieved with comparable properties and within the broader market, the Valuer has relied on anecdotal evidence which include their discussions with active brokers, investment and fund managers as well as fund investors.

 

·         They have also considered the relativity of asset class pricing. This includes the relativity of the healthcare real estate sector against other comparable markets, and the relativity of the healthcare real estate sector against other asset classes within the relevant market.

I suppose that the curious decision of buying a lone property in South Korea has turned out to be a bad one. Fortunately, it should not have a big negative impact on the REIT as a whole.

Related post:
First REIT: Purchase in South Korea.
(Dated 9 July 2011.)

First REIT buys hospital at 17% discount to valuation.

I like buying properties at a discount to valuation but, in reality, such offers are hard to come by. In the world of S-REITs, however, it has happened before and it has happened again as First REIT is going to buy Siloam Hospital Purwakarta at a 17.3% discount to valuation. The price tag? S$31 m.

The hospital has two parts, a 3 storey building which was completed in 2005 and a 5 storey building which was completed in 2008. Major refurbishment is now underway and is expected to be completed by late 2014. The good news is that all refurbishment work will be paid by the seller. So, First REIT will get a newish property. No additional cost.

First REIT will pay S$26.5 million using debt and issue new units to the seller equal to a value of S$4.5 million. This is rather innovative. It makes the purchase financially less demanding. Gearing level will then rise by a more modest percentage from 32.3% to 33.9%, post acquisition.

This purchase will increase future income for First REIT and the 15 years Master Lease agreement will provide stability. A 6 months rental deposit will also be collected.

Now, as investors for income, we are probably more interested in how DPU will be affected. First REIT will have more units in issue after this and also a higher debt burden. So, both NAV per unit and DPU will only see very marginal increases, post acquisition. So, don't go spending any money on a lion dance troupe.

Everything else remaining equal, I would say that First REIT is a fairly good investment for income but, like the management of the REIT, I would like to buy stuff at a discount to NAV and the REIT's NAV is currently about 97c per unit.

See announcement: here.

Related posts:
1. A simple way to a double digit yield.
2. Distribution reinvestment plan: First REIT.

Distribution Reinvestment Plan: First REIT and CIT.

I received a few enquiries from readers as to what I am doing with regards to the Distribution Reinvestment Plans (DRP) offered by First REIT and Cambridge Industrial Trust. I think readers who have been following my blog for a long time would have guessed my answer.

I invest in REITs for income and I will take the distributions in cash, usually. Usually? Yes, usually and I would have said "always" if not for the single instance when I took part in the DRP of AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT's.

So, why did I do it then? Was I being inconsistent?

Well, if I could make money out of a situation and yet not stray from my original intention of investing for income, I am being consistent. That was the case then. So, it was a case of having my cake and eating it too. Why wouldn't I do it?

For those who are unfamiliar with the circumstances surrounding the DRP I am referring to, please read: AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT: DRP.

As for the DRPs offered by First REIT and Cambridge Industrial Trust now, I don't see how they are compelling offers apart from the fact that unit holders who take part will be saving on brokerage fees and other costs which would be incurred if they were to make the purchases in the open market instead.

First REIT is offering to allot new units at a price of S$1.0163 per unit. Market price is now $1.02 per unit.

Cambridge Industrial Trust is offering to allot new units at a price of S$ 0.6737 per unit. Market price is now $0.68 per unit.

As anyone can see, there is only a very slight discount to the current market price in both cases.

So, unless we are thinking of increasing our exposure to the REITs at current prices anyway for some reason, it would not make much sense to take part in the DRPs.

I have shared the reasons why I am not adding to my investments in S-REITs in earlier blog posts but those reasons are good for me. They might not be good for everyone.

Having said this, I still think that REITs are relevant investments for income and would not hesitate to add to my long positions if Mr. Market were to make me offers too good to refuse.

Related posts:
1. 9M 2013 income from REITs and more.
2. 2013 full year income from S-REITs.
3. Strategy to grow wealth and augment income.

A simple way to a double digit yielding portfolio.

Regular readers know that First REIT is one of my oldest investments in my portfolio of S-REITs. 

One of my earliest blog posts said how this was an investment for keeps. 

That was in March 2010. 

Time really flies. It has been almost 4 years.
See:
First REIT: This one is for keeps.






Over the last few years, I made use of opportunities to buy more units of First REIT's. 

These opportunities were in the form of a rights issue and market corrections.
See:
Bloodbath continues and AK71 went shopping!
and
First REIT: Rights issue.






I became an investor of First REIT's in 2007. The price was 75c a unit.

During the Global Financial Crisis (GFC), I bought more at 42c a unit.

When it had a rights issue at 50c a unit, I took up my allotment and even bought nil-paid rights from unit holders who didn't want to fork out 50c a piece for their rights units. 

Those cost me 66c a unit in total.






During a fierce correction in 2011 which people called a bloodbath, I bought more from 74.5 to 77c a unit. 

It was a decision which I used Technical Analysis to help me in, with the belief that there was nothing wrong with the fundamentals of the REIT.


Some may ask why would I buy at those prices which were higher than what I paid during the GFC or rights issue. 

Perhaps, an old blog post will throw light on this.
See:
First REIT: XR and fair value.







As income investors, we are, no doubt, interested in distribution yields. 

With Q4 DPU coming in at 1.97c, the annualised distribution yields on costs now work out to be 10.23% to 18.76% per annum.


Although the unit price of First REIT has retreated from a high seen sometime middle of last year, sharing the same fate of all S-REITs' after a mention of "tapering" by Mr. Ben Bernanke, a unit price of $1.06 today is still 1.37x to 2.52x my entry prices.

Is there any purpose in sharing these numbers with you? 

Well, if we ask what did I do to make these numbers an integral part of financial security for me today, we will have our answer.


Although some might feel that I am revealing a secret, what I am doing is just sharing a process. 





There is nothing sacred about this. It is just the way I think:

1. Know our motivations. Are we investing or trading?

2. If we are investing, are we investing for growth or income?

3. Will REITs help meet our objectives?





4. What are the fair values of the REITs in question?

5. Fair values are most probably subjective but without any idea of fair value, we will not know when to buy and avoid overpaying.





6. Know our investment well and stay updated. Know the strengths and weaknesses. Know the benefits and risks.

7. If we are investing for income, we could still trade around our long position while staying mostly invested. This could enhance returns.


See? Nothing magical. 

Anyone can do this.

Now, some have asked me if they should buy into First REIT at the current price. 

Questions like this are always difficult to answer, for obvious reasons.

Personally, I always like to buy cheaper. 

So, I like to buy a good REIT when there is a discount to NAV and when distribution yield is higher, all else remaining equal.





First REIT's NAV/unit is now 96.64c.


Of course, if people are investing for income, finding the yield acceptable and the fundamentals good, they could initiate a long position in the REIT, bearing in mind the risks involved. 

Don't just focus on what is good. 

Know also what could go wrong and if it is acceptable to us. 

It is only natural that people would have different levels of risk appetite.
See:
REITs: When to buy?







Do the right things and the rights things will have a higher chance of happening for us.


So, is there a simple way to a double digit yield? 

Yes. Not easy perhaps but simple.




Related posts:
1. First REIT: Revelation.
2. Are you ready to come out on top from a recession?
3. Motivations and methods in investing.
4. 3 points in stocks investing.
5. The mystical art of wealth accumulation.

OUE C-REIT.

OUE Limited is spinning off OUE Bayfront in Singapore and Lippo Plaza in Shanghai into a REIT. Seems like OUE Limited is actively recycling capital and trying to catch whatever remaining interest investors might have in a REIT IPO. Just barely half a year ago, they listed OUE Hospitality Trust and I blogged about that here.

OUE C-REIT is the name of the latest offer. It will be priced at 80c a unit and will offer a distribution yield of 6.8% or a DPU of about 5.44c.

I believe that this IPO is a plus for OUE Limited shareholders just like the listing of SPH REIT was good for SPH shareholders. However, I don't think OUE C-REIT is attractive as an investment for the same reason that I thought SPH REIT was not attractive compared to SPH as an investment. You might be interested in that blog post. Read it: here.

I like the fact that OUE Limited has given a commitment to support the REIT by offering assets at a discount to valuation in future. This is something that the Lippo Group has done for LMIR and First REIT as well. After all, it is the same family that is in control of OUE Limited. Yes, OUE Limited is a 55% owned subsidiary of the Lippo Group.

I also like the fact that OUE Limited will retain a 45 to 50% stake in OUE C-REIT which will see their interests more aligned with those of minority unit holders in the REIT since any action taken which might hurt minority unit holders will hurt the sponsor, OUE Limited, most.

Having said this, we have to remember that the sponsor would have reaped most of the benefits from the IPO and the higher distribution yield is a result of income support given by the sponsor. If there were no such support, the distribution yield is actually 5.56%, almost 20% lower.

Over the next couple of years, if the REIT manager is able to fill up all the vacant space in the two initial properties and achieve positive rental reversions in re-leasing, the REIT could deliver a yield of 6.8% without any support.

However, with interest rates set to increase, we could see a heavier debt burden come 2017 when most of the REIT's debt mature. This could wipe out any hope of maintaining the relatively attractive distribution yield now unless unit price of the REIT declined.

The REIT could grow DPU through accretive purchases from its sponsor, of course, but with gearing ratio relatively high at 41% or so now, it would probably have to resort to equity fund raising either in the form of a rights issue or private placements. Unit holders should be prepared for this.

All investments are good at the right price and to invest in OUE C-REIT for income, I would only be interested if it should offer a much higher distribution yield, given the considerations above.

Related posts:
1. A strategy to grow wealth and augment income.
2. 2013 full year income from S-REITs.

First REIT: DPU increased 16.7% to 1.96c.

On 26 July, I blogged about a 16.4% increase in First REIT's DPU. That was due primarily to contributions from 4 newly acquired properties. So, a continuation of the higher DPU through the quarter that ended 30 September should not come as a surprise.

Sometimes, in REITs, we see increases in net property income and distributable income but a lower or stagnant DPU. Of course, if the gearing level should be significantly reduced, it could be acceptable. Otherwise, all else being equal, it just means that we had an incompetent management.

When I initially invested in First REIT years ago, it had a relatively low gearing ratio. It was a bit more than 10%. Now, it is above 30%. So, the higher DPU has been achieved by leveraging up. Now, I am not saying that this is a bad thing.

However, to continue growing through acquisitions is going to be more difficult especially because the management wants to keep gearing at around 30%. This was also why I cautioned in an earlier blog post that we could expect a private placement if there should be another acquisition in the pipeline.

With the management saying that they are exploring AEIs to enhance income stream and to maximise returns to unitholders instead, the prospect of having a private placement is much weaker now. I view this as a good thing.

To have a private placement in order to strengthen the balance sheet making an acquisition or development less onerous might or might not result in a higher DPU. In the case of AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT, DPU improved while in the case of Cache Logistics Trust, DPU declined although marginally. So, in the case of First REIT, since we have a good thing in hand, why change it? The status quo is fine by me.

The CEO of First REIT's manager, Dr. Ronnie Tan, has a reputation for accumulating the REIT's units at all price levels. His interests are more aligned with unitholders', therefore. So, this is, perhaps, a reason why First REIT has been such a good investment for retail investors.

Related posts:
1. First REIT: DPU increased 16.4% (Part 1).
2. First REIT: DPU increased 16.4% (Part 2).

First REIT: Revelation. (Part 2- DPU increased 16.4%).

Now, many readers are curious to know how much have I invested in REITs but I have always been reserved for good reasons, as you can imagine. That has not stopped some readers from becoming more creative in their questions.

A reader lately suggested that I could reveal details for a small portion of my portfolio which might not cause too much personal discomfort and I think this is acceptable. 

Personally, I think it will also serve another purpose which is to show that I do not have as much invested in REITs as some might think.

So, let us start with when was the last time I did something to my investment in First REIT. It might come as a surprise but I haven't done anything to my investment in First REIT in a long time. 

The last time I bought more was in March 2011 at 73c a unit. It has been pretty much a buy and hold strategy for me although I did trade around my investment from time to time.

I have never bothered to really keep track of exact numbers but a back of the envelope calculation shows that I received more than $15,000.00 in income from First REIT in the last 12 months. I estimate the distribution yield to be about 10% on cost. 

At the moment, although it is not as important a consideration to me, there is also a paper gain of more than 70%.

So, you might agree that this has been a pretty good investment for income for me.

Some might wonder why I invest for income? 

Well, a big purpose of investing for income is so that our investments could help to pay for some of our expenses in life. 

Of course, the ideal situation is for them to pay for all our expenses in life.

For example, the largest expense item in my life really is my car and the income I receive from First REIT more or less pays for this including the car's depreciation which is more than $500 a month.

So, imagine if I did not put my money to work by investing in First REIT or some other investments which generate income, that money would probably have sat in my bank account collecting 0.125% per annum in interest in the last few years. 

Utterly miserable and the interest payments would probably not even be enough to pay for transportation by bus and the MRT for a year!

It is, therefore, not surprising that I still feel my investment in First REIT is for keeps although some might say that I should sell to lock in capital gains. Well, maybe if future conditions suggest that it could be a good idea to do so. 

For now, I will just sit back and relax.

Related posts:

1. First REIT: DPU increased 16.4% (Part 1).
2. First REIT: This one is for keeps.
3. The mystical art of wealth accumulation.
4. Secrets of millionaire investors.
5. Little Book of Value Investing.
(Patience is sometimes the hardest part...)

First REIT: DPU increased 16.4% (Part 1).

First REIT declared a DPU of 0.86c. This is for the period of 22 May to 30 June 2013. This will be paid on 29 August 2013.

Including 0.99c paid for the period of 1 April to 21 May 2013, the total DPU for the quarter is 1.85c.

Gearing ratio: 33.4%

No debt will be due until 2016 once a fixed rate loan is finalised next month.

NAV/unit: 89.65c

Unit holders have to be prepared for more private placements as the REIT's managers have stated their intention to keep gearing at 30% even as they embark on future acquisitions and AEIs.

With unit price way above the NAV/unit, it is less expensive for the REIT to raise funds through issuing more equity now. As long as they are able to grow DPU in spite of a larger number of units in issue, I don't have a big issue (pardon the pun).

Like what the management has stated, despite a larger number of units in issue, DPU has grown 16.4% year on year. This means that without me having to invest more money, I am getting significantly more income from my investment in First REIT now.

Therefore, it would not be wrong to say that my investment in the REIT has been quietly growing a passive income stream for me without additional cost to me. 

This makes me happy.

See presentation slides: here.

First REIT: DPU to increase!

First REIT is going to acquire two new hospitals in Indonesia for $190.4 m.

1. Siloam Hospitals Bali.
Purchase price: $97.3 m.
Annual base rent: $9.7m.
Financed by a drawdown of committed debt facility.

2. Siloam Hospitals TB Simatupang (South Jakarta).
Purchase price: $93.1 m.
Annual base rent: $9.3m.
Financed by a combination of a drawdown of committed debt facility and issuance of new units to the REIT's sponsor.

For anyone investing for income, an important question is how would these actions affect the DPU?

Well, even with the issuance of new units to the REIT's sponsor, unitholders will still enjoy a 5.47% increase in DPU on a per annum basis. The estimated full year DPU including these acquisitions is 6.94c.

Mr. Market certainly likes the news as the REIT's unit price rose 3.5c to close at $1.23 per unit. At this price, the projected distribution yield is 5.64%.

Yield has certainly compressed very much compared to those days when I bought at between 42c to 76c per unit.

So, is it still good to buy at current prices? It would depend on what is our definition of "good".

See announcement: here.

Related posts:
1. REITs: When to buy?
2. Do not love unless it is worth the loving.

First REIT: DPU of 0.7c.

First REIT issued 30,900,000 new units last November at 95c each to help pay for a couple of acquisitions in Indonesia. An advance distribution of 1.02c was paid for the period 1 Oct to 25 Nov.

The DPU of 0.7c announced is for the period 26 Nov to 31 Dec.

The management expressed confidence that contributions from the two new properties would boost the REIT's net property income in 2013. The full impact would be felt from 1Q 2013 which means that we would be able to tell in the next quarterly report if DPU would see a substantial increase.

When I blogged about the private placement in November, I was concerned that we would see a reduction in DPU, post placement, using the pro forma numbers provided by the management then.

Now, it seems that, apart from the maiden contributions from its two recent acquisitions in Indonesia, the REIT enjoyed higher rental income from its existing properties in Indonesia, Singapore and South Korea as well.

If I were to do a quick back of the envelope calculation using the latest DPU of 0.7c as a guide, I would say we could actually see a quarterly DPU of as much as 1.75c in 2013. This would mean an annual DPU of 7c.

Therefore, my fear of a reduction in DPU due to the dilutive effects of the earlier mentioned private placement has been allayed or so it would seem.

Interest cover ratio: 12x

Gearing level: 27.1%

With the management steadfast in its vision for a S$1 billion portfolio over time, although the REIT's balance sheet is strong, we could see more fund raising in future.

With unit price well above NAV/unit, it has become cheaper for the REIT to raise funds by issuing new units now. So, future private placements or rights issues cannot be ruled out.

See presentation slides: here.

Related post:
First REIT: 30,900,000 new units.

REITs: When to buy?

This is taken from the weekend edition of The Business Times:

Simon Rudolph, Franklin Templeton Investments' portfolio manager for global equities: "We invest in REITs when we can buy them with good yields, but most importantly, at a good discount to the NAV. Real estate has to be about total return and not just income."

"When you buy something at 30% premium to NAV, unless there is a reason it is trading at a premium, it can still go back to par."

This is something that I can identify with and it is something I have always talked about in my blog as something to look out for when deciding which S-REITs to invest in.

Off the top of my head, my investments in AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT and First REIT appreciated some 40 to 75% in value in the last 3 years. This is on top of annual distribution yields of 13 to 17%. Readers who have walked the walk with me the whole time could possibly verify this.

So, if we believe Simon Rudolph, does it mean that now is not the time to buy into S-REITs? Well, not the best time perhaps but, for some investors, being able to secure an annual yield of >7% is considered very attractive in the current low interest rate environment. Even a 6% yield could be considered attractive.

We could possibly see yield compression to continue in S-REITs as money continues to search for places where it is treated better. Another 10% appreciation in the unit prices of S-REITs cannot be ruled out in 2013.

A few days ago, a reader made a comment regarding Saizen REIT which is still trading at a significant discount to its NAV. This is a REIT that was unloved and ignored for a long time. It was still the case when I decided that it was terribly undervalued and bought into it. What about now?

Well, being a REIT with properties in Japan and its income in JPY, the bug bear is forex risk. The JPY has been on a decline. It has weakened against the S$ by about 10% in the last 12 months. So, this will affect its NAV and distributable income in S$ terms.

Even so, we could be looking at a NAV of 27c/unit and a DPU of 1.134c a year. A unit price of 17c means a 37% discount to NAV and a distribution yield of some 6.67%.

If we were to factor in a worst case scenario of a further 10+% decline in JPY against the S$, we could expect a NAV of 24c/unit and a DPU of 1.01c a year or a 29% discount to NAV and a distribution yield of 5.94%.

It is perhaps worth remembering that Saizen REIT owns freehold properties and that its bank loans are amortising in nature. The relatively lower distribution yield could be acceptable, therefore.

REITs, when to buy? Obviously, there were better times and there could be better times again but is leaving most or all our money in savings accounts which pay almost nothing in interest a better choice when inflation of 4% per annum is set to be the norm? You decide.

Related posts:
1. Saizen REIT: 2H FY2012.
2. REITs: Simply explained?
3. Inflation is not going away.

First REIT: 30,900,000 new units.

First REIT is having a private placement, issuing 30,900,000 new units at 95c each. This is to help pay for acquisitions announced earlier in September.

How will this impact existing unitholders?

Other than the advance distribution for the period 01 October to 25 November which is nice to have, existing unitholders' interest in the trust is going to be diluted.

The REIT has approximately 632,645,000 units in issue. The 30,900,000 new units will add 4.88% to the total units in issue.  Based on an estimated pro forma DPU of 6.77c, post acquisitions, the DPU post private placement is estimated to be 6.455c or 1.614c per quarter.

In 3Q 2012, the DPU was 1.68c. Annualised, it gives us 6.72c. So, unit holders seem to be better off pre acquisitions and private placement. We are likely to see a 3.93% reduction in DPU in future.

At a price of $1.02 per unit, I now estimate a distribution yield of 6.32%. If unit price should decline to 95c which is what the private placement's investors would be paying, distribution yield would be 6.65%.

The advantage of the private placement is that it would strengthen the balance sheet of the REIT without incurring hefty costs which would come with a rights issue as the amount raised is not big. However, the expected dilution and a possibly lower DPU in future is unpalatable.

See announcement: here.

Related posts:
1. First REIT: Acquisitions in Manado and Makasar.
2. First REIT: 3Q 2012.

First REIT: 3Q 2012.

As the contribution from the divestment of its Adam Road property has run out, First REIT's DPU sees a reduction of 12.5%, quarter on quarter, from 1.92 to 1.68c.

Year on year, however, DPU has improved from 1.58c to 1.68c.

I would say that First REIT has produced sterling results yet again.

Income distribution is payable on 29 November 2012.

See financial statement: here.

Related post:
First REIT: 2Q 2012.

First REIT: Acquisitions in Manado and Makasar. (Amended)

First REIT is acquiring two properties from its sponsor, PT Lippo Karawaci Tbk.

The two are Siloam Hospitals Manado & Hotel Aryaduta Manado at S$83.6 million, and Siloam Hospitals Makassar at S$59.3 million. The prices are at a discount of 10.78% and 9.81% to valuations, respectively.

The purchases will be funded through debt and a private placement.

Some pro forma numbers:

Total asset size:
S$782.2m or an increase of 26.4%.

NAV/unit: 84c.

Annual DPU: 7.45c. 6.77c.

Read press release: here.

What really interests me is the DPU here. An annual value of 7.45c 6.77c will approximate 1.86c 1.692c per quarter.

Regular readers will remember that I said a safer way to value First REIT was to use a quarterly DPU of 1.6c as it would remove the special distributions resulting from the sale of the REIT's Adam Road property. This is especially so if the management should be tardy in moving to improve the REIT's income.

Well, the special distributions have run out but the proposed acquisitions will take in S$14.1m in annual net rental income which is equivalent to a quarter of the REIT's annual revenue from its current portfolio. Therefore, the proposed acquisitions will keep the REIT's DPU more or less unchanged which would, in turn, lend support to its much higher unit price today. Now, I wonder if this is enough to lend support to its much higher unit price today.

At last session's closing price of $1.03 a unit, we will be looking at a pro forma distribution yield of 7.233% 6.573%. This is probably still attractive enough for many in the current low interest rate environment.

Related post:
First REIT: 2Q 2012 DPU unchanged.

First REIT: 2Q 2012 DPU unchanged.

First REIT has delivered another quarterly DPU of 1.93c, unchanged from the last quarter. However, the quarterly DPU of 1.93c would not be repeated as it includes the final payment from the gain from selling of its Adam Road property. This is why I have cautioned more than once that we should use a more conservative quarterly DPU estimate of 1.6c when valuing the REIT.

The REIT goes XD on 30 July 2012 and income distribution is payable to unitholders on 29 August 2012.

NAV/unit: 79.5c
Gearing: 15.9%
Interest cover ratio: 11.8x
Occupancy: 100%

In 2H 2012, the REIT could see marginally higher income once a 5 storey annex is completed in its Lentor Residence later this year. It is also expected to take advantage of its low gearing and acquire more properties from its sponsor, Lippo Karawaci. The REIT has ROFR to several properties in Indonesia in various stages of completion.

Lentor Residence

First REIT's current unit price is definitely on the high side. Mr. Market is not known for patience. So, if the REIT should be tardy in its efforts to improve DPU, we could see its unit price declining over time now that the contribution from the sale of its Adam Road property will cease.

See slides presentation: here.

Related post:
First REIT: 1Q 2012 DPU of 1.93c and a higher fair value?

AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT: Making money.

The issue of how REITs must constantly raise funds in order to expand has been beaten to death and I have also blogged about it more than once. The debate can and probably will go on forever but, as far as I am concerned, it has little value and serves to distract us from what really matters.

If REITs are raising funds for activities that are yield accretive, I would readily support the exercise and would, in fact, try to subscribe for more than my entitlement of rights if the offer is very attractive. Bearing this in mind, I have been able to profit from rights issues. To me, as an investor, I want to make money and if I could profit from rights issues, I would.

To this end, one of the rights issues which I have made the most money out of was AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT's. The rights were priced at 15.5c per unit. I applied for many excess rights and received quite a large number of rights units in that exercise. Post consolidation, these rights units cost 77.5c per unit. At today's price of, say, $1.22 per unit, there is a capital gain of about 57.5%. From then till now, I have also enjoyed an annual distribution yield (on cost) of some 13% on these units.

Of course, there are some who would point out that the units I was holding on to, pre-rights issue, suffered some dilution and loss in value. The suggestion is that Mr. Market would recognise this and that it could be reflected in the unit price. Well, at today's price of $1.22 a unit, it would translate into a pre-consolidation price of 24.4c per unit. I don't remember ever paying as much as 24c a unit, pre-consolidation, for AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT. There is something to be said about a penchance for buying into REITs which are trading at a (large) discount to their NAVs, perhaps.

Why am I quite suddenly talking about AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT and rights issues?

OK, before you go clicking on SGX looking for announcements, no, they are not having a rights issue. Then why?

Well, some people say that I am always using First REIT as an example of how investing in REITs can be very rewarding. So, this is another example to the same effect, isn't it?

It is also a more powerful example since there were many who cursed George Wang et al. from the days when it was known as MI-REIT and in need of recapitalisation, declaring that the REIT would never amount to much after the rescue.

(Pause...)

29 Woodlands Industrial Park E1.

OK, if you have guessed that this is not the real reason behind this blog post, hurrah! You guessed correctly.

I try to be forward looking and care more about the future than I do about the past. Caring more about the past could become an obsession as I grow older though. I hope it would not happen although I am sure it is only a matter of time. I see enough examples of how it is happening to older people all the time.

The catalyst for this blog post is the annual report from AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT which I was flipping through over the weekend. Specifically, it has to do with the fact that quite a number of properties in the REIT's portfolio have re-development potential.

As we have seen in the current redevelopment of 20 Gul Way which is to be completed in two phases (phase 1 by November 2012 and phase 2 by December 2013), redevelopment is a very good way of delivering more value to unitholders.

The redevelopment of 20 Gul Way did not require any rights issue although there was a private placement to CWT Limited (and regular readers know that I would very much prefer rights issue but the private placement was rather small and a rights issue would have been rather costly.)

10 Soon Lee Road

Well, there are a few more properties in the REIT's portfolio which could be considered for re-development to take advantage of the maximum plot ratios allowed. Examples are:

10 Changi South Lane (Lease expiry: June 2056)
Current plot ratio: 1.60
Maximum plot ratio: 2.50

541 Yishun Industrial Park A (Lease expiry: June 2054)
Current plot ratio: 1.28
Maximum plot ratio: 2.50

2 Ang Mo Kio Street 65 (Lease expiry: March 2047)
Current plot ratio: 1.31
Maximum plot ratio: 2.50

103 Defu Lane 10 (Lease expiry: June 2043)
Current plot ratio: 1.20
Maximum plot ratio: 2.50

8 Senoko South Road (Lease expiry: October 2054)
Current plot ratio: 1.30
Maximum plot ratio: 2.50

10 Soon Lee Road (Lease expiry: March 2041)
Current plot ratio: 0.88
Maximum plot ratio: 2.50

With gearing level at 30% or so, I would not be surprised if a major rights issue is required if there should be plans to redevelop these sites. In fact, I expect it to take place. When will it take place? Ah, that one, I don't know.

If you think that I am quite excited with the prospect of another rights issue, you are right (pun unintended). I am pretty sure I am not the only one too.

Related posts:
1. REITs and rights issues: Dilutive or not?
2. REITs and rights issues: A Singaporean tale.
3. AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT: Accumulate on weakness.

My very first blog post on AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT in December 2009:
AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT (MI-REIT).

Market gyrations, my portfolio and a sabbatical.

My investments in S-REITs are holding up nicely which gives credence to my strategy to overweight S-REITs in my portfolio. Their relative price stability and high distribution yields provide some solace in a volatile market.

A brief look at some of my larger investments in S-REITs:

1. AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT closed at $1.20 per unit. My cost per unit ranges from $0.775 to $1.10.

2. Sabana REIT closed at $0.97 a unit. I first initiated a long position at $0.93 in March 2011. I bought more as its unit price sank below $0.90. I am still holding on to those units I bought at $0.865.

3. First REIT closed at $0.90 a unit. This is an investment I have had for many years. My lowest entry price was $0.42 during the global financial crisis. I took part in its rights issue at $0.50 a unit. I bought more nil-paid rights for a total cost of $0.66 a unit. I also bought more units at $0.70+c.

4. LMIR closed at $0.39 a unit. Like First REIT, this is an investment I have had for many years. My lowest entry price was $0.185 during the global financial crisis. I took part in its rights issue at $0.31 a unit. I also bought more nil-paid rights for total cost of $0.331 to $0.365 a unit.

5. Saizen REIT closed at $0.143 a unit. The history I have had with this REIT is somewhat bumpy. I increased my long position once again with a large purchase as its warrants reached their last day of trading not too long ago. Average price of that purchase $0.129.

I have collected many quarters of income distributions from these investments and my war chest is constantly being refilled. So, I constantly have funds to take advantage of any investment opportunities which might come along.

My strategy is to stay partially invested as we must also have cash to continue investing especially if Mr. Market decides to sell good quality stocks and trusts at bargain basement prices.

Recent efforts to invest in some companies instead of S-REITs have produced below average results. In fact, my poorly timed investments in China Minzhong and Wilmar, although relatively small, are a drag on my portfolio's performance. If I had stuck to my strategy of concentrating on S-REITs in recent times, my porfolio would have fared much better.

Of course, there would be people who disagree. Readers who comb the cyberspace for information would have, no doubt, come across some local blogs which vilify REITs. Well, everyone is entitled to his own opinions.

I have gotten somewhat tired of defending my position. Actually, why do I even need to defend my strategy? If people like it, they are welcome to follow. If they don't like it, don't follow. This is a free world. Just don't be rude.

I was never a savvy person with IT stuff and when I discovered blogging, I was like a child who discovered the sweetness of sugar. I got a sugar high. I have always enjoyed writing. So, I took to blogging like a fish to water. Also, as I age, I have developed an increasingly serious speech impediment. To a rather talkative person, this is an annoyance and makes blogging even more of an outlet of expression.

Making money from blogging was never a first thing on my mind. It came about later on when friends suggested that I could put some ads in my blog. I must say that I have been able to make some pocket money this way. Pocket money? Hey, Nuffnang pays me 20c for every click I get for ads they place on my blog. If my primary motivation for starting this blog is to make money, I must be seriously mental.

If I were to stop blogging tomorrow, what would I lose in monetary rewards?

Well, I have been thinking of taking a break from blogging and I have shared this thought here in my blog as well. There are other aspects of my life I would like to spend more time on. There are also people I would and should spend more time with. It is also quite obvious to regular readers that I have been blogging less frequently too.

We often hear of the saying that "this is the last straw that broke the camel's back". Well, I think I got another catalyst to stop blogging at least for a while earlier this evening.

To my regular readers, you know which blog posts I have here in my blog which would keep you squarely on your goal of financial freedom. Each time you waver, come back to my blog and go down the right sidebar. I would also be doing the same, no doubt. It is not easy to start but start we must. The journey is hard but go on we must. When we see the results of our effort, it would get easier and easier. Remember, if AK71 has done it, you can too.

To new readers, understand that we are all different. Not everyone can be a Warren Buffet or Donald Trump or Robert Kiyosaki. They have all taken their own paths to success. You should find your own. Reading my blog, if you feel that my way is something you would like to emulate, give it a go but know that everyone's circumstances are different. Set for yourself realistic goals. Take baby steps but you have to work towards building up passive income to a level that is equal to or exceeds your earned income. Then, you would have achieved financial freedom and you work because you want to and not because you have to.

In everything we do, there is an element of luck. Even Warren Buffet was wrong before. No one is God and even with Him, there is debate on things He might have done wrong. OK, this is a sign that I should stop. Yes, Father, I have sinned.

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The following was a blog post written on 28 November 2011 after talking to "ao" in LP's infamous cbox (Bully the Bear). It was never published... till now:

A reader asked me recently if I ever get tired of replying to comments in my blog, especially with skeptics aplenty when it comes to my investments in REITs. I told him that I am only human and I do feel tired sometimes.


Recently, I had lunch with the blogmaster of Time to Huat and another long time friend. They asked the same thing, almost. One of them said that some comments were almost repetitive and marvelled at my patience in replying to every comment even so.


To me, I feel that if a job is worth doing, it is worth doing well. How do we measure worth? In the world of blogging, at least to me, it is not measured in dollars and cents. I would be better off giving private tuition with my time, using such a measure.


When I started blogging, I took on certain responsibilities whether I knew it at that point in time or not. I am airing my thoughts in cyberspace. I am sharing ideas. Of course, there will be questions and also disagreements. What is a blogger to do? Face these squarely.


Being a blogger is like being a semi public figure. Semi public? Yes, we can choose to blog without revealing our true identity. I have gotten a taste of what it is like to be a semi public figure and I doubt I would ever want to be a public figure. So, although I have met a handful of readers and fellow bloggers so far, I have decided quite some time back to be more reclusive. I value my privacy too much to ever become a public figure.


Recently, I have been thinking again whether I should stop blogging altogether. My blog posts are usually crafted with care  So, it takes up a lot of time and I only have so much time...