CitySpring Infrastructure Trust: Rights issue.

I divested my investment in CitySpring Infrastructure Trust last year in October. At that time, the Trust was trading at 60.5c/unit. Long regarded the investment as a mistake, the divestment was premised upon the Trust's weak fundamentals and relatively low distribution yield.

The Trust's last done price was 53.5c/unit today and its managers announced a rights issue to raise about $210.2 million in gross proceeds to strengthen its balance sheet. Each unitholder will be asked to buy 11 new CitySpring units for every 20 held at 39c per rights unit. This rights issue is, more or less, expected with a very weak balance sheet.

I have mentioned before that rights issue to fund yield accretive purchases is good for unitholders. However, a rights issue to "strengthen balance sheet" which, basically, acknowledges a weak balance sheet in the first instance is not a good deal. They are asking for money to pay down debts. So, this rights issue lowers both the DPU and distribution yield straightaway.

A unitholder with an investment of 20 lots in the Trust would end up with 31 lots if he subscribes to his entitlement. He would still get the same total quarterly income distribution in dollar terms with 31 lots as he did with 20 lots. A lower DPU and distribution yield. Definitely not a good deal.

Good luck to existing unitholders.

Related post:
CitySpring Infrastructure Trust: Thoughts on divestment.

Read announcement here.

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Cityspring makes rights offer to raise $210.2m
Thursday, 30 June 2011

© 2011 - The Edge Singapore

Mr. Market is always right.

I blogged about my partial divestment of Saizen REIT as price gap closed at 15c. I still retain more than 10% of my original investment in the REIT. See blog post here.

As Saizen REIT was the largest investment in my portfolio, making up some 40% of total funds invested (excluding funds in my frozen portfolio), the amount of money released was no small change. Leaving the money in the bank was not an option with interest paid on savings a paltry 0.1% per annum.

So, at the right time, I moved bulk of the funds into Cache Logistics Trust, First REIT and Sabana REIT. I blogged about these quite a bit too.

See the following blog posts:
Cache Logistics Trust: Accumulate on weakness.
First REIT: Bought more at 73.5c.
Sabana REIT: Bought more at 93.5c.

Another round of income distribution from all three REITs was received in the last few weeks. The unit prices of all three REITs also went up in the same time.

Today's closing prices are:
Cache Logistics Trust: 97c.
First REIT: 79c.
Sabana REIT: 94c.

What does this suggest? Investing in these REITs has been and still is the right thing to do. Mr. Market is always right.

My largest investment in a REIT now is in AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT. The unit price has moved up very nicely as well to 22c. So, the units I accumulated at 19.5c, 20c and 20.5c back in March are in the money too.

Recently, I have taken the opportunity to divest partially and I blogged about my reasons for doing so as well. Read it here.

Generally, I am going to hold on to these REITs for their very attractive distribution yields. I could divest some if they become overvalued (based on fundamental analysis) or overbought (based on technical analysis) or both. No reason to divest until then.

This has been another long day as I try to get used to a new routine. This is likely to continue for weeks to come. Physically and mentally exhausted, I am not in the best condition to trade the market. Being more than 80% in REITs, investing for income, is the best strategy for someone in my position now. Good luck to us all.

Related posts:
REITs lower portfolio risk.
Staying positive on S-REITs.

Saizen REIT and Sabana REIT.

Moody’s Investors Service has upgraded Saizen REIT’s corporate family rating to B1 from Caa1 following the conclusion of their rating review.

The stable outlook reflects Saizen REIT's improved liquidity and the absence of material refinancing needs in the next two years.

Read announcement here.

Sabana Real Estate Investment Management Pte. Ltd., the Manager of Sabana Shari’ah Compliant Industrial Real Estate Investment Trust, is pleased to announce the maiden donation of its non-Shari’ah compliant income to the Straits Times Pocket Money Fund and the Embassy of Japan for the relief and reconstruction efforts in Japan.
 
Read announcement here.

Win a fresh Apple iPad 2!

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Do it today!

Golden Agriculture: Strong resistance.

I am still bullish on the long term fundamentals of crude palm oil. The more robust demand for the vegetable oil in emerging economies, especially in China and India, will provide a floor to any correction in price.

A correction? Yes, prices do not go up in a straight line. If prices do move higher, they climb a wall of worries.

The share price of Golden Agriculture is finding it hard to move higher than 68.5c in recent sessions. If we take a look at the daily chart, it becomes clearer why this is so. 68c is where we find the merged 20d, 50d and 100d MAs.

Volume has been relatively thin and we have to bear in mind that share price is moving closer towards the apex of a symmetrical triangle. If volume does not increase with an accompanying push to move price higher, we might see support at 66c broken and price moving lower.

If price were to retest support at 66c, I could buy more shares in the company but it would be a smallish purchase in case price were to move higher. A trend is not over until it is over, after all.

In the meantime, keep an eye on the strong resistance at 68.5c. If that were to be taken out convincingly, we could see 70c next.

Related post:

Golden Agriculture: A steeper trendline resistance.

Selling shares of Capitaland and CapitaMalls Asia.

I did a contra on the shares bought earlier in the week for Capitaland and CapitaMalls Asia yesterday. To me, the way in which the share prices were moving higher on lowering volume did not look sustainable.

Downtrends are rivers of hope, no doubt, but I would not get too hopeful especially if the technicals hint of a weak rebound. Lock in some gains and let others take on the higher risk of holding the shares in the downtrend.

If prices should go higher, congratulate the buyers. They took on greater risk and if they were to make money in the process, they deserve it.

Capitaland:

CapitaMalls Asia:

If prices were to move higher next week to test resistance provided by the longer term MAs, I would move to cut my long positions in these two counters, bearing in mind that their downtrends are very much intact.

I cut losses if prices rebound to test resistance and not when they are moving lower.

Related post:
The long awaited technical rebound.

Balancing AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT and Sabana REIT.

I have been kept busy the last couple of days. By the time I took a shower and called it a day, it was technically night since it was already past 11pm. It is the same thing today. Hopefully, I will be more settled in another week or so. Till then, I can only hope to blog more regularly.

So, what have I been doing in the stock market?

I increased my investment in Sabana REIT while reducing my investment in AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT. Having these REITs in equal weightage in my portfolio is an aim of mine. This is something I said I would be doing in an earlier blog post too. If you missed it, read it here. That was just last month.

At that time, AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT was trading at 20.5c/unit while Sabana REIT was trading at 91c/unit. Today, they are trading at 22c/unit and 93c/unit respectively. In the last few weeks which saw a bloodbath in the stock market, they have appreciated in price. How's that for resilience and, dare I say, capital gains?

More importantly, it has made the reason to balance my investments in the two REITs more compelling. A gain of 1c from 20.5c to 21.5c is a gain of 4.88%. A gain of 1.5c from 91c to 92.5 is a lesser gain of 1.65%. So, partially divesting AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT and buying more units of Sabana REIT makes even more sense now (i.e. sell the former at 21.5c and buy the latter at 92.5c).

The DPU of AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT is 2c. With unit price increasing from 20.5c to 21.5c, it means distribution yield decreasing from 9.76% to 9.3%.

The DPU of Sabana REIT is 8.81c. With unit price increasing from 91c to 92.5c, it means distribution yield just decreasing from 9.68% to 9.52%.

See how the distribution yield of Sabana REIT is now higher than that of AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT when just a few weeks ago it was lower? This is attractive to me as Sabana REIT's numbers are stronger and more of its properties are of better quality too. You can also say that the lower distribution yield of AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT tipped the scales even more in favour of Sabana REIT now.

I have been putting sell orders at 22c for AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT but they were, unfortunately, not filled. At 22c, its distribution yield would be 9.09% and even if I were to buy units in Sabana REIT at 93c, the distribution yield would be a more attractive 9.47%.

Finally, if you are wondering how I managed to buy any Sabana REIT units at 92.5c today when it traded at 93c, I didn't buy any today. I bought yesterday and the day before.