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My plan after 3.45% p.a. 1 year T-bill.

Friday, January 26, 2024

Massive disappointment.

Many felt that when the cut-off yield came in at 3.45% for the latest 1 year T-bill auction.

I somehow got the dates messed up and I couldn't take part in the auction.

Regular readers might remember that I bought a 1 year T-bill about a year ago using CPF-OA money.

That cut-off yield was 3.87% p.a. and would mature on 30 January 2024.

So, it would not have matured in time for the recent 1 year T-bill auction.

Somehow, I kept thinking that it would.

Anyway, no loss there.






3.45% p.a.

I would not have gotten the T-bill even if the money came back in time.

I would have placed a competitive bid of 3.5% p.a.

That is minimally acceptable to me when using CPF OA money to buy T-bills.

This is because the breakeven is 3.33% p.a.

This covers the possibility of losing 8 months of CPF OA interest and not just 7 months.

So, at 3.5%, I am only getting 0.17% more than what CPF OA would pay me.

This means that for $100,000, it is a $170 difference.

For $670,000, which is the amount from my last 1 year T-bill with CPF OA money, the difference would have been about $1,140.

Nothing to write home about but still something.




Of course, getting 3.87% the last time, the difference was more significant.

Anything lower than 3.5% p.a., I would just leave the money in the CPF-OA.

Not enough meat for me to be interested.

So, what am I doing with the CPF OA money coming back?

I will try for 6 months T-bill, bidding competitively at 3.5% p.a.

If I don't get it, no big deal.

If AK can talk to himself, so can you.

Reference:
CPF account got hacked!

Reducing risk and volatility on portfolio level.

Monday, January 15, 2024

I have picked up Yu Gi Oh again!

Found that I could play it for free online.

It was something I played but only for a bit and I enjoyed the anime.

I didn't have a deck of my own as it was too expensive to build one.

I had to use a friend's deck.

It was so long ago.

Old brain.

So rusty.

It is a strategy game that really tests my ageing brain which is a good thing.

Helps to slow the onset of dementia, maybe.

Anyway, like I said in a previous blog post, I have been contemplating just buying T-bills and bonds from now on.

Of course, if the yields decline, I could always go back to making contributions to my CPF account.

Regular readers know that I treat my CPF savings as an investment grade bond component of my portfolio which pays reasonably attractive coupons.

This way, I would continue to grow the risk free component of my investment portfolio.




I must realize and embrace the fact that I don't really have to take on more risk anymore although I could still buy more stocks if Mr. Market goes into another severe depression.

Like I said several times before, that would be the time to dismantle my T-bill ladder.

Doing this, buying T-bills and bonds in the meantime, price volatility on the portfolio level would reduce over time.

The last T-bill auction saw a cut-off yield of 3.74% p.a.

Until the Fed reduce interest rate, I am expecting similar cut-off yields for the time being.

I have put in a non-competitive bid for the upcoming auction happening on this Thursday, 18th of January.

That's all for this update.

If AK can talk to himself, so can you!

Related post:
SSB, T-bills, banks and plan.


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