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Teaching young children financial literacy.

Sunday, May 26, 2013

In the papers today, I read about two ladies who started a business in Singapore to teach financial literacy to children. 

I think it is a good thing they are doing.

This reminds me of a book which a friend told me about over dinner some time back. 

He said he wanted to teach his son financial literacy but found it difficult. 

I mean how do we talk to primary school kids about passive income without boring them to tears?





Anyway, my friend found a book which did the job and I am now inspired to share the book here with readers who might be in the same shoes as he was.

and help fund literacy for the poor.




The sooner children realise it is a good idea to make money work for them, the better off they will be in future. 

Want your children to be financially literate from a young age? 

Give them this book.




The curious case of Mr. Tan Kang Hua.

Today's INVEST section in The Sunday Times profiled Mr. Tan Kang Hua, a 27 year old engineer and avid investor who has had more hits than misses in his journey as an investor. 

It was reported that Mr. Tan often dresses shabbily as he does not want to flash his wealth. 

I guess he does not want to attract any attention. I can empathise with this.





However, accepting an interview by our national newspaper and having photos of him and his family published in full color must attract quite a bit of attention. 

Now, everyone who knows him and even people who didn't would know about him and his wealth. 

Curious why he would want to do this.





It was also revealed that his best investment to date was the first property he owned which was a 3 bedroom condo he bought in 2010 when he was 24 and still in university. 

He sold it off last year for a profit of $300,000 which translates to a ROI of 200%. 

Curious how did he manage to get a loan to buy a 3 bedroom condo when he was still in university.





I wonder if Mr. Tan Kang Hua is a reader of ASSI and if he could help satisfy my curiosity. 

Failing this, could anyone help to answer these questions?




Related posts:
1. Retiring a millionaire is not a dream.
2. Making your first million dollars in real estate investment.
3. Excuse me, are you an investor?

Inexpensive chill out ideas.

Life can be hectic especially in a city like Singapore. In fact, it often is.

Today, I had breakfast in a rather nice setting before going for a stroll in a nearby park.

Oishi!


Green is the most soothing color to the eye.

Breakfast: $6.95.
Newspapers: $0.90.
Visit to the park: $0.00.

Inexpensive, yummy and therapeutic.

-----------
Updated on 1 August 2016.

Visited another park in Singapore today.


Lower Peirce Reservoir. 


I like it and will visit again!

Related post:
What to do in Singapore on National Day?

Is this the start of a bear market? What to do?

Thursday, May 23, 2013

There is really no accounting for Mr. Market's behaviour. Just this morning, share prices were still holding up nicely and in the afternoon, they were all much weaker. It reminds me of Singapore's weather in recent weeks, sunny in the mornings and raining heavily in the afternoons.

If we were to comb the internet for possible reasons for the decline in share prices, we would see analysts putting the blame on China's poorer manufacturing data in May and Ben Bernanke's remarks which have been interpreted as a possible earlier tightening of money supply. As far as I am concerned, Mr. Market was itching to take profit and these are excuses.


Ben Bernanke's statement was made public last night and when I read the papers this morning, what really struck me was his statement that the Fed's current monetary policy is providing significant benefits and that "a premature tightening of monetary policy could lead interest rates to rise temporarily but would also carry a substantial risk of slowing or ending the economic recovery and causing inflation to fall further." (The Business Times, 23 May 2013, page 18.)

How do you think we should interpret Ben Bernanke's statement?

There is not going to be any change in the Fed's monetary policy, not until unemployment falls meaningfully and inflation is where they want it to be. So, the environment of low interest rates will persist and this bodes well for the stock market.

Now, with the declines in the stock market today, is the bear back? Some people have been waiting for the bear to come back for a long time, staying on the sides with lots of cash. They hope that this is the start of a bear market. Well, is it? Naturally, no one knows.

What I know and would like to remind everyone about is that prices do not go up or down in a straight line. They climb a wall of worries and go down a river of hope. The uptrend is still pretty much intact and pull backs are only normal. Today is another pull back and the worries are China's weaker data and, apparently, Ben Bernanke's statement.

With lower prices, now, we see better value. Of course, this is assuming that there are no material changes which will adversely affect our investments. If the fundamentals are unchanged, a good investment at a lower price offers greater value for money. Then, look at the technicals. If these are benign, we should be buying on weakness.

In a nutshell, if the fundamentals remain good and if the technicals are benign, pull backs are buying opportunities.

For those who are still interested in investing in AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT and Sabana REIT, their charts spot long black candles today. Their units are definitely more attractively priced now.

AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT.

SABANA REIT.

So, what should we do? Prepare a list of the stocks we are interested in. Determine what are the prices we would like to buy at as well as the reasons backing those decisions. Remember, if we cannot convince ourselves why we are buying at a certain price, we really don't have a good reason to be buying.

Have a plan and follow the plan.

Related posts:
1. Have a plan, your own plan.
2. Help! I missed the boat.
3. Risks and rewards: TA and FA.

Intern was slapped for 3 years!

Something I heard on the radio and everyone I know is talking about is how an intern got slapped by his boss. I didn't bother to search out the video to watch it although I agree that it is a deplorable act and that the boss should be punished.

Today, I read an article on how the family of the intern is asking for $100,000 in compensation! Wow! $100,000 for being slapped?

Then, as I read the story, my sympathy turned into amazement!

According to Lianhe Wanbao, the intern joined the firm at Jurong East three years ago as an undergraduate. He was paid $500 a month and not given any benefits or leave days.

When he graduated from university, the intern continued to work for the company under the same pay, still without a contract or any benefits.

The 29-year-old intern who was physically abused by his supervisor was reportedly paid the same salary of $500 per month for the three years he was working at the company located at iHub.

News of the supervisor physically abusing the intern had surfaced online last Friday night (May 17) in a 17-second YouTube video that showed the supervisor hitting him. 

According to an article in Omy, he had interned there for 6 months after graduating, and then continued on without a contract.

He had also received no bonus and would even have his pay docked when he went on leave.

Three years?! OMG! What was this guy thinking? Was he even thinking?

This is really incredible.

Always find a job that pays us what we are worth or more than what we are worth. Being slapped at work not an option.

Related post:
7 steps to passive income from the stock market.

Here is the video:

Ways to reduce income tax.

On 8 March 2013, I blogged about how we could pay less in income tax even as we increase our income. 

So, what can we do to achieve this?





1. Invest to receive non-taxable income.

2. Start a Supplementary Retirement Scheme (SRS) account and make annual contributions to reduce taxable earned income.

3. CPF-SA Top Ups will receive income tax relief for the first $7K contributed each year.

4. Voluntary contribution to our CPF-MA will receive income tax relief.


5. Donate to charitable organisations recognised by the government and enjoy 2.5x tax deduction, if we can afford to do so.





The rather generous personal income tax rebate from the government helped me to save 30% in tax payable. 

For seniors who are still working, the rebate is 50%.

So, how much is my income tax for the Year of Assessment 2013?

S$ 1,133.23.

This is probably the lowest I have ever paid in income tax in the last 10 years. 

This is even though my total income for 2012 exceeded S$200,000.






What I have done is humanly possible. 

Compared to many big success stories in Singapore, what I have achieved is not fantastic. 

Unless disadvantaged in some way, anyone who is determined enough can do it too. 

Remember if Yan can cook, so can you?

It is 100% possible to make more money and pay less income tax and there are readers who have been following my blog since its inception who can attest to this. 





If you have experienced this for yourself, please leave a comment and share with us your story.

Of course, there are many ways to pay less income tax and, mind you, I am referring only to the legal ones. 

Nothing illegal here in ASSI. 

Read the comments contributed by readers in my earlier blog post on the topic (hyperlink provided below) and we will get some ideas.

Believe or not to believe?

Related post:
Make more money, do good and pay less income tax.

Cooling measures for cars: Buying pre-owned.

Wednesday, May 22, 2013

There was a big commotion with regards to how cooling measures for cars would affect the pre-owned market not too long ago. In response, from 6 April 2013, the government lifted the more stringent rules for car loans for 60 days for the purchase of pre-owned cars. The concession will end on 5 June 2013.


The Monetary Authority of Singapore stated that:

"It said it would not be possible to relieve the industry from the impact of the financing restrictions on an on-going basis.

"It said the two-month relaxation of the rules for the pre-existing used car inventory will help the industry adjust to the new conditions."

Dealers said that a period of six months would have been better.

I suspect that the pre-owned market for cars will see harder times from 6 June 2013 once the concession ends.

Why am I blogging about this?

I have a friend who is thinking of buying a pre-owned car and since he does not need to take a loan to do so, I suggested that he should wait till sometime in mid June to start shopping. Prices could possibly soften as the pool of able buyers for pre-owned cars would probably shrink by then.

Related posts:
1. Cooling measures for cars.
2. Cooling measures for cars spurned.

Keeping HDB flats affordable.

Tuesday, May 21, 2013

There is an on-going debate on whether HDB flats are actually subsidised. Personally, I believe that the flats are subsidised because the government could otherwise sell state land to private developers for much higher prices.


A while back, Mr. Khaw Boon Wan, in an interview, revealed that "every year, hundreds of millions of dollars of losses were incurred by the HDB and that's why MOF has to give the HDB an annual grant, otherwise the HDB will be in the red. Because every unit that we sell, we lose money, HDB loses money."


HDB Singapore pays market rate for its land and construction costs. So, selling flats at below market prices, HDB incurs a deficit.

I blogged about how Mr. Khaw Boon Wan plans to bring down prices of new flats in non-mature estates before to ensure affordability. I wondered if this could lead to HDB resale prices crashing too but, once again, Mr. Khaw assured that a crash will not happen because there will be "distinct differentiation" between cheaper new flats and those built earlier.

I wonder how these cheaper new flats will be different from those built earlier but there is no doubt that subsidies will have to continue playing a big role to keep HDB flats affordable.

Why do we need life insurance?

Monday, May 20, 2013

A picture speaks a thousand words and a video probably speaks a million.


Watch a video capturing The Flying Dutchman's (popular radio DJ) traumatic heart-attack here:
http://sg.sharings.cc/AK71SG/share/LIA

Hopefully, this video will get people thinking about possible unforeseen events and drive home the message that life insurance is a need.

Asian Pay Television Trust (APTT): IPO.

Saturday, May 18, 2013

Usually, when people ask me about IPOs and if I would take part, I would answer in the negative.

Subscribing to what Warren Buffett thinks about IPOs and that is IPOs of stocks are almost always bad investments, I have not taken part in IPOs in many years. Warren Buffett is of the opinion that IPOs are rarely undervalued offers.

What about the IPO of APTT? Is this an exception?


Well, APTT will be holding TBC which was a business in MIIF's portfolio and we know that TBC was the crown jewel of MIIF's portfolio of businesses. With TBC removed from its portfolio, MIIF saw its unit price tumbled almost 70% yesterday.

At a unit price of 97c, APTT's distribution yield is estimated to be 7.5% in the first year and this is estimated to increase to 8.5% in the second year. With relatively high yields like these waved around, the IPO has attracted a high level of interest from institutional investors.

Indeed, Dow Jones Newswires reported in an article dated 2 May 2013 that 8 cornerstone investors were secured. These are investors who are willing to commit to holding significant stakes which shows their confidence in the Trust.

In a yield hungry world, investors fed up with a low interest rate environment could push up the unit price of APTT when it starts trading on 29 May 2013. Of course, there is no way of telling if this would happen but look at how Croesus Retail Trust saw its unit price rose 23% on its first day of trading recently and we get an idea of just how things could turn out for APTT. Although not really comparable, it suggests that Mr. Market could be quite happy with distribution yield compressing to just 6.5%.

In case you are wondering about gearing (and you should), APTT's gearing is about 40%, while Croesus Retail Trust's gearing is at 47%.

If a distribution yield of 6.5% is what Mr. Market is willing to accept, APTT could trade at $1.12 per unit. If Mr. Market demands a minimum of 7% yield in the first year, we could see APTT trading at $1.03 to $1.04 per unit. If news that the placement tranche was 3 times oversubscribed by institutional investors is reliable, chances are we will see APTT trading higher.

If you are interested in participating in the IPO, take note to do so by 12 noon, 27 May 2013.

Related posts:
1. MIIF: Asian Pay Television Trust (APTT).
2. MIIF: Lower fair value.

Be a real estate owner the easy way (3).

As a follow up to my last blog post which questioned "Am I trying to be the most popular blogger in Singapore", I decided to Google "Singapore Investment Blogs" to see just how popular my blog might be. Curious, you know.

Well, I saw a link with a pretty face on the first page and, in case you are wondering, no, the face was not mine. Anyway, thanks to that link, this blog post was born. Unexpected, really.

The hyperlink says "Wendy Kwek Official Blog" and, apparently, she is a savvy and well known Singaporean property investor. Well known? I should know her but I don't. I should read up about her and I did.

The first line of the third paragraph in the "About me" section gels with me:

"I like to speak with people to engage and inspire them."

I like that although I am more a writer than a speaker.

"My mission is to help average people create extraordinary wealth through property investments."

Now, this sounds powerful. Pretty attractive too, no doubt.


The archives of her blog show that the blog started in August 2012 but I guess Wendy must have been reaching out to people long before that. She runs the "Property Riches Program" and her last blog post dated 9 April 2013 stated that the program saw its 14th batch of graduates and it was a big group, going by the photograph taken of the class!

Personally, I have not attended any program like this before and decided to do a bit more research online to find out more. I found this:

"Learn How To Own Properties With Little Or NO Money Down From Ms Wendy Kwek"

It was part of an ad on a property related website.

OK, this sounds familiar and I think I blogged about this before.
Read: Be a real estate owner the easy way (2).

Is the claim bona fide? Maybe, I don't know. I have not attended the course by Ms. Wendy Kwek before. So, I have nothing definite to say about it other than the fact that the claim sounds too amazing to be true.

Searching the internet to see if there are ways we can own properties with little or no money down, I came across 4 ways:

1. Borrow money to pay the down-payment
2. Co-Invest with other investors
3. Co-Invest with other investors using Central Provident Fund (CPF)
4. Buy overseas property with no money or little money down

Read the full article at Mr. Propwise: 4 ways to buy properties with no money down.

With even previously sceptical people now thinking that there is only one way for property prices to go which is up because of inflation, it is perhaps no wonder that Ms. Wendy Kwek et. al. are highly sought after by investors.

I took the following from the Facebook of Drizzt, the blogmaster of "Investment Moats":

"A condominium in a good location in Singapore can cost at least a million dollars and with the buyer having to fork out some 30% of the total purchase price, the upfront deposit can be a minimum of $300,000 excluding other miscellaneous charges. $300,000 is a figure that can take quite some time for a person on the street to save up to...

"But with property clubs, with a group of common-minded investors, together pooling a sum of monies for property purchases, the sum of monies an investor needs to fork out will be reduced. Take for example, the same $1 million property, with 20 investors, each investor would just need to fork out $50,000. Should the property price ascend to say $3 million, the $2 million profits would be shared among the 20 investors, this will translate to a profit of $100,000 for each investor! To maximise profits, some of these property clubs will ... purchase overseas properties with prices depressed due to the economic cycle."
 
When I commented that people should consider the possible downside, Drizzt said: "Think there is no downside with inflation the name of the game" which, in his opinion, is what the general public is thinking.
 
If you have owned properties with little or no money down before, perhaps, you could share with us your experience here. I am interested in hearing your experience and I am sure other readers would be interested too especially if we could own an investment property (or a few) with no money down in Singapore.

Related posts:
1. Leverage up and buy investment properties now?
2. Selling a private property just got harder.
3. More cooling measures on the way?
4. Buying a piece of real estate within your means.
5. Rich Dad, Poor Dad: 2 are better than 1.

Singapore Police Force - Recruitment.

Friday, May 17, 2013

One thing which most friends and relatives don't know about me is that I wanted to join the Singapore Police Force when I was much younger but my medical status meant that it was a no go. With my degree, I would have been an ASP right away.

Till today, sometimes, I still wonder how I would have turned out as a person if I was accepted.

Anyway, if you are considering a career and if you are a person who values courage, loyalty, integrity and fairness, a career in the Singapore Police Force might just be what you are looking for.

Find out more at:
http://sg.sharings.cc/AK71SG/share/SPF

Plastic hazard in cup noodles!

I bought some Myojo brand cup noodles recently because NTUC Fairprice had a sale. It was $1.30 or $1.40 for two. Cannot remember exactly.



Anyway, in case you buy this, WARNING, do not pour hot water into the container as per usual practice! The smell of plastic was so strong that it was unbearable!

I quickly poured the hot water and noodles into my trusty Tupperware container which I use to bring oatmeal from home everyday. If I didn't have an alternative container close at hand, I would probably have thrown away the noodles, dissolved plastic and all.


No prizes for guessing what I had for breakfast and lunch today. Oh, I also had some very nice cake my sister baked which was a treat!

Myojo noodles are good. I prefer them to Maggi but the use of cheap plastic is really damaging and in more ways than one! Instant noodles lovers, please take heed!

Related post:
Korean noodles for lunch!

Not happy with government? Please emigrate!

Thursday, May 16, 2013

I couldn't believe it when I read that the newly appointed Home Minister of Malaysia said that Malaysians who are unhappy with the country's political system should leave the country.


"If these people wish to adopt the list system or the single transferable vote used by countries with the republic form of government, then, they should migrate to these countries to practise their political beliefs," Datuk Seri Ahmad Zahid Hamidi.
Source: The Straits Times online, 16 May 2013.

I don't see how a statement like this is going to help make things better.

The Minister should realise that, like them or not, these unhappy Malaysians are still Malaysians! They have the right to express their desire for change even if the Minister might not agree with them. Simple, isn't it?

How could someone like this be a Minister? He is a Datuk too. Shame on him.

You might also be interested in this:
Take the good with the bad if we retire to Malaysia.

MIIF: Lower fair value with lower income distributions.

With MIIF divesting TBC, unit holders will no longer be getting income distributions twice a year from the Fund in future.

This is because MIIF receives income from TBC in March and September while it receives income from HNE and CXP in September only.

MIIF will have a DPU of about 0.7c in August 2013 which is from the final income received from TBC. A DPU of about 1.2c will be paid out in March 2014 which will be for income received from HNE and CXP.

In future, we should expect only once a year distribution from MIIF for income received from HNE and CXP. Also, do not expect 1.2c to be the norm either as it is expected that the tolling revisions for HNE will adversely affect DPU for the full year starting in 2014.


What would be a fair value per unit for MIIF when it resumes trading?

In recent past, MIIF was trading at about 63c a unit and with an annual DPU of 5.5c, unit holders were enjoying a distribution yield of some 8.73%. For ease of calculation, let us be generous and assume that an annual DPU of 1.2c will be the norm. This would give us a fair value of 14c per unit, thereabouts, in order to have a similar yield. This would mean a decline in price of some 49c per unit!

If this estimate should gel with Mr. Market, unit holders would have been better off selling at 63c a unit prior to the voluntary trading suspension since unit holders are only getting 44.329c per unit from the divestment of TBC either in cash or in APPT units (priced at 97c per unit).

It would also mean that anyone with a purchase price of 58c or lower per unit, prior to the trading suspension, is quite "safe" while anyone with a higher purchase price could lose money.

Of course, there is a chance that APPT could see higher unit price when trading starts and there is also a chance that MIIF might not see its own unit price plunging to 14c per unit. If this should be the case, then, this effort by the management to unlock value for unit holders could be declared a success.

Anyway, now that we have some ballpark figures, we will be able to make some snap decisions tomorrow, if required, keeping in mind that any investment at the right price is a good investment.

See: MIIF dividend guidance.
See: APPT offer price and MIIF APPT units.

Related post:
MIIF: Asian Pay Television Trust (APTT).

Am I trying to be the most popular blogger in Singapore?

Someone asked if I was trying to be the most popular blogger in Singapore. I don't know why she got that impression. Was it something I said or did? Hmmm...

Anyway, I really am too lazy to work much harder on my blog. Blogging is a hobby and I want to keep it that way. I mean I enjoy blogging enough to want to continue doing it but to work hard at it is really a different ball game, isn't it?

For anyone who has the ability and the will to become a popular blogger, there could be many financial advantages. No kidding? Yes, no kidding! There are enough examples out there.

Xiaxue
A blog I visit from time to time belongs to, arguably, the queen of bloggers in Singapore, Xiaxue.

She makes enough money from her blog to do it full time. I was told she makes $XX,XXX in certain months and has a manager to deal with advertisers!

When she got married, she didn't have to worry about most of her wedding expenses. She had so many sponsors!

See:
http://xiaxue.blogspot.sg/2010/03/my-wedding-solemnization.html
(Just scroll to the end of the blog post if you don't want to look at the photos.)

Then, recently, she got her matrimonial home renovated and, again, she had so many sponsors!

See:
http://xiaxue.blogspot.sg/2013/03/home-decor-part-1-living-room-and.html
(Again, scroll to the end of the blog post and you will see what I mean.)

Pretty amazing!

I think part of Xiaxue's success stems from not being a finance blogger in Singapore. Hahaha... I am only half kidding. Want to have more financial rewards as a blogger? Don't do what I do!

If you don't believe what I just said, you just have to search for blog awards in Singapore and there are quite a few annual events out there but you will never find a category at these awards that says "Best Investment/Personal Finance Blog".

Sobering for some.

Related posts:
1. A couple of thoughts.
2. Request for sponsorship.

AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT: Distribution Reinvestment Plan.

Tuesday, May 14, 2013

Regular readers know that I will always take the income distributions from REITs in cash when they offer a Distribution Reinvestment Plan (DRP) as an alternative.

There are two reasons why I do this and they are because:

1. I invest in REITs primarily for income and accepting new units in lieu of cash distributions means having less passive income.

2. There is a possibility that I could get to buy more units of the REITs cheaper later on.

These seem to be reasonable enough.





However, with the DRP offered by AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT with regards to 4Q FY2013's distribution, I have decided to accept some DRP units and the balance in cash.

See? Who said that people who invest in REITs are predictable? Could anyone have predicted this decision of mine? OK, why have I decided to do this?





Let us start with what we all know. The REIT went XD on 26 April 2013 with a DPU of 3.14c. Today, the REIT closed at $1.84 per unit. The DRP units are at the issue price of S$1.6727.

So, there is a 10% difference between the REIT's closing price today and the DRP issue price. 

If we were to take advantage of this, we would get 10% more money than choosing to receive the distribution in cash only, wouldn't we?





For example, if someone who was going to receive S$1,672.70 in cash distribution should opt for new units instead, he could sell these new units for S$1,840.00 to Mr. Market and make some nice pocket money! 

Of course, we wouldn't know if the unit price would still be at S$1.84 later on. It could possibly be lower, after all.

The solution to this is quite simple. The person could sell an equivalent number of units from his existing holdings now to lock in the price of S$1.84. These units sold would soon be replaced by the DRP units anyway.







I like to have my cake and be able to eat it too. Who doesn't? 

However, what I have described so far might not work for everyone. Why?

Although to receive about 10% more money is attractive, the operation would make sense only to those unit holders whose cash distribution from the REIT amounts to S$1,672.70 or more. 

Doing some simple calculations, with DPU at 3.14c, it would only make sense to investors who hold 54 lots or more of units in the REIT to do this. Any lesser, it won't be viable.





It would also make sense for unit holders who hold more substantial stakes in the REIT to calculate exactly how many of the units they currently hold should be used in accepting DRP units to avoid odd lots which could be quite a pain.

For anyone who is thinking of accepting DRP units, remember that the closing date is 23 May 2013.

Related posts:
1. AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT: Bumper distribution.
2. Made and still making money from S-REITs.
3. AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT: Making money.

Value for money holiday ideas!

Monday, May 13, 2013

The Vesak Day long weekend is coming up and so is the June school holiday. If you are wondering where you could go for a short vacation, check out these fantastic offers:


"Life's A Beach" Phuket: 3D2N Free & Easy Stay at 5-Star Cape Panwa Hotel (Private Beach Front) – Includes 2-Way Flight on SilkAir + 2-Way Airport Transfer + Daily Breakfast + Half-Day Coral Island Tour (Min 2 Pax) @ S$ 299.00 each.


Hong Kong: 3D2N Free & Easy Stay at Kimberley Hotel – Includes 2-Way Air Ticket by Tiger Airways + 2-Way Airport Transfer + Half-Day City Tour (Min 2 Pax; 4D3N Option with Half-Day City Tour & Disneyland Admission Available) @ S$ 248.00 each.


Shopping! Bangkok: 4D3N Stay at P2 Boutique Hotel – Includes Return Ticket by Singapore Airlines + Airport Transfer + Daily Buffet Breakfast + City Tour + In-Room Wi-Fi (Min 2 Pax; Limited Voucher Only) @ S$ 188.00 each.

These and more amazing offers are available at: Discounts

China Minzhong: Good results produced long black candle!

Share price of China Minzhong opened higher at $1.11 and touched $1.12 today before closing much lower at the end of the day at $1.025.

Why has Mr. Market turned bearish on China Minzhong? Did the company report dismal results? No, on the contrary, results although not stellar are pretty encouraging.


China Minzhong actually saw a 5.9% increase in net profit to RMB 255 m for 3Q FY2013. This was on the back of higher revenue which increased by 27.7% to RMB 962.2 m.

Both cultivated and processed vegetables segments did well. Driven by growing domestic demand, the former's revenue improved 36%, year on year, while, driven by export demand, the latter's revenue improved 22%. Revenue from other processed products improved some 51.5%, reflecting strong demand for China Minzhong's branded products which include beverages.

What do all these tell me? The business is growing rather nicely. Then, why is Mr. Market selling down the stock? I have no idea and it really doesn't bother me. What matters is what I am going to do and I am definitely not selling.

With lowering share price, valuation is becoming cheaper. Do I want to sell something cheap? Or would I rather buy something cheap?


Technically, however, a long black candle, an engulfing one in this case, no less, is very bearish. We could see share price declining even more as I have little doubt that this could have brought out the shortists amongst us.

It would, therefore, not surprise me if the recent low of 96.5c should be retested if the gap covers at $1.005. Immediate support is provided by the 20d MA at $1.025.


Of course, we don't want to catch a falling knife. Even if we believe that fundamentals are good, to wait and see could be a better thing to do now. What am I waiting to see?

See if price should retest 96.5c. See if volume dries up as price goes lower. See if the momentum oscillators form higher lows especially if price should form a lower low.

Cheap could get cheaper and I am sure everyone likes to buy a good stock cheaper. However, there is nothing wrong with buying cheap and buying again even cheaper later on (or is there)?

See China Minzhong's 3Q FY2013 results: here.

You might also be interested in these blog posts:
1. China Minzhong: Bought more at $1.025.
2. How to tell if a company is a potential takeover target?
3. Teach yourself fundamental and technical analysis.

Yongnam: Partial divestment at 33.5c.

Building on my observation that Yongnam's stock price seems to move in blocks of 1.5c, I have been putting in overnight sell orders at 34c for a few sessions. These sell orders did not manage to get filled even as the stock touched 34c in recent sessions.


With CMF forming lower highs, we have to think that smart money has grown less enthusiastic about the stock even as the recent high of 34c was repeatedly tested as resistance. So, I made a decision to partially divest at one bid lower than 34c today.

This batch of shares was purchased in February 2012 at 24.5c a share. So, the result is a capital gain of 36.73%. Of course, I also received 2 rounds of dividends of 1c per share in the same period. Total ROI is 44.89% over a 15 months period. Not too bad.

Yongnam's stock is trending up and the channel is clear to see. It is currently testing the resistance of the channel. There is a chance it could break out of resistance but with volume anaemic, the chance is slim. There is also a chance it could pull back to test support provided by the rising 20d MA or even the support of the rising channel.

Technically, it seems more prudent to lighten my long position in Yongnam and to wait for a pull back before loading up again.

Related post:
Yongnam: Partial divestment at 31c.

Happy Mothers' Day!

Sunday, May 12, 2013

Today, my family had a very happy time together having lunch.

For dessert, my sister cut up some very sweet papaya and mango. She also baked a beautiful cake.


To all readers who are mothers,

HAPPY MOTHERS' DAY!

You ladies deserve it!

Eu Yan Sang: Weight management package.

Friday, May 10, 2013

Ads on slimming pills and courses are plenty. I am always sceptical about them especially when they are not cheap to begin with. However, if they are offered to me free of charge, I wouldn't mind trying. Free. Why not?

Now, Eu Yan Sang is also into the business of slimming! Yes, I didn't believe it myself but it is apparently true.

A Nuffnanger lost some 5.2kg and 10cm around the waist with the help of a physician from Eu Yan Sang!

Anyway, Eu Yan Sang is giving away 2 weight management packages worth more than $2,000 each. So, if you are interested, enter the contest and you might just be a winner:
http://sg.sharings.cc/AK71SG/share/1EYS2013


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