$300K invested in REITs? Why did I buy? How was I sure?

I spend a lot of time thinking.

Some say I am a thoughtful person.

However, some say I think too much.

We are all wired differently, right?

During "Evening With AK And Friends 2025," something that kept popping up could be explained as such.

I said having money to invest with was not enough.

We must have the right mindset and the right framework for what we want to achieve financially.

Our methods and our motivation must match.

So, I shared the pyramid which I use to help ensure portfolio stability, and at the very least make sure it does not sink to the bottom of the ocean and is lost forever.

Having the right mindset is also very important.

Being prudent with money is the first and most important step as we need capital to invest with.

Being patient and pragmatic is useless if we don't have the capital to begin with.

Patiently waiting for opportunities.

Being pragmatic to know how much we should be investing in something.

Someone asked what gave me the courage and conviction to buy into REITs big time during the GFC.

I remember in reply to another question, I said we must know what we are buying.

If we didn't know what we were buying, then, we wouldn't know if we should buy more or if we should sell.

We could panic and sell when the price plunged instead of buying more, for example.

I used the example of Saizen REIT and said I was sure their portfolio of assets was worth more and that there was a strong demand for them.

When they sold some of the buildings to pay down debt as required by their lenders then, they were able to sell them at a big premium to book value.

Mr. Market was feeling very pessimistic about the REIT and turned a blind eye to that.

The GFC was really a credit crisis.

Some REITs like AA REIT could not get their hands on loans.

In the case of AA REIT, a white knight came along to recapitalize the REIT. 

It was controversial and very ugly but it was the only practical way for the REIT to survive.

The white knight was not altruistic, for sure.

It was all about making money and with so much money involved, they would try to make sure the REIT delivered.

So, what did I do?

I got on the boat with them.

Be pragmatic.

I also mentioned Lippo REIT during the event and how I was able to get a 25% distribution yield back then.

Indonesia was one of the very few countries that did not go into a recession during the GFC and the Rupiah was relatively strong then.

Indonesia didn't rely on external trade much.

Their domestic economy was 60% of their economy if I remember correctly.

The country's urban population still went to malls and they didn't have as many big malls back then.

The malls weren't going to shut down with demand that high.

With a 25% yield, I would have gotten back my money in 4 years.

Of course, some older readers might remember I sold more than half of my investment later for a 200% capital gain when Mr Market recovered from its depression.

That was the one year I blogged about massive capital gains from investments on top of passive income.

Be pragmatic.

I also said that I had the benefit of advice from a senior investor in real estate who said to be brave.

He said the market was behaving as if the buildings were being abandoned.

Still, we must do our own research to verify which I did.

Be brave but don't be foolish.

Don't borrow money to invest with.

Silly to risk what we need for what we don't need.

Don't follow "gurus" blindly.

Don't ask barbers if we need a haircut.

Educate ourselves and trust ourselves more.

We cannot get it right all the time, for sure.

However, if we are right most of the time, we should do well enough.

In the 15 years after the GFC, people got used to low interest rates.

REITs got used to that too and many borrowed too much and were way too optimistic.

We want to avoid being too optimistic and being too pessimistic.

Be pragmatic.

When some were saying buy Suntec REIT, I produced a video on Suntec REIT on how much it has changed from the time I invested in it donkey years ago.

Therefore, contrary to what those influencers said, I said I wouldn't buy Suntec REIT.

A few years back, so many influencers were saying buy Eagle Hospitality Trust and I produced a series of blog posts on why I wouldn't touch it.

Do our own research.

Someone in the audience said my blog was hard to read and he preferred my videos.

I think the truth is more and more people don't like to read.

Maybe, this is why in a recent international study, Singaporeans scored so badly in composition and comprehension in the years after leaving formal education.

Outsourcing isn't always a good idea especially when it affects our personal development.

We can listen to what YouTubers have to say but don't start relying on them for directions.

Alamak.

Nagging again.

Primary objective of this blog is to better answer a question posed during the event.

As I grow older, my brain dulls.

It takes more time for me to recall all things I want to recall in reply to some questions.

It is quite sad when I think of how I was sharper and more articulate before.

The nagging just happened unintentionally.

If AK can do it, so can you. 💯

Largest investments updated (mid 2024): Never run out of money in retirement.

It has been quite a while since I last blogged about my largest investments.

The last time I published such a blog was in January 2023.

So, it has been a year and a half!

Apart from being lazy, I didn't do very much to my portfolio and, hence, I did not see the need to publish any updates.

However, I think it is about time I do this even if it is just to take into account changes in market prices.

Many things have changed in the past 18 months.

Before we start, I want to share a YouTube video I produced on how not to run out of money in retirement which I feel is an important topic:

Anyway, here is the update.

$500,000 or more

1. CPF

2. OCBC

My CPF savings is a constant.

Being risk free and volatility free, it provides peace of mind.

I have not done any voluntary contributions to my CPF account in the last 18 months.

Instead, I have used that money to buy Singapore Savings Bonds and I shared the reason why here and also in my YouTube channel, of course.

I have also used money in my CPF OA to buy T-bills which grows my CPF OA savings at a faster clip.

In dollar terms, it is quite meaningful as I have quite a large amount of money in my CPF OA.

So, my CPF savings has grown in size in the last 18 months despite lacking mandatory or voluntary contributions.

Next is OCBC which is my largest investment in equities.

Since the last update on my largest investments, I added to my position in OCBC at about $12.30 a share in the middle of 2023.

The market value of my investment in OCBC has gone up significantly as its share price has also appreciated quite a bit.

This is very nice but as an investor for income, I am more interested in the passive income generation.

OCBC has become and will continue to be the most important passive income generator for me.

$350,000 to $499,999

1. AIMS APAC REIT

2. DBS

3. UOB

4. SSBs and T-bills

Unlike the top bracket, there are some changes in the second highest bracket in my portfolio.

DBS and UOB have both moved upwards to join AIMS APAC REIT in this bracket.

The spectacular increase in the share prices of DBS and UOB resulted in their promotion in my portfolio.

There is also the fact that I added to my investment in UOB in the middle of 2023 at about $27.90 per share.

I also added to my investment in DBS in November of 2023 at about $31.80 per share.

Together, OCBC, UOB and DBS account for more than 45% of my portfolio's market value.

Then, there are SSBs and T-bills.

Together, they jumped two brackets upwards from 18 months ago.

Yes, together, they were in the lowest bracket 18 months ago.

I can save money relatively quickly since my passive income exceeds my expenses rather significantly.

I have been socking away money in SSBs and T-bills in the last 18 months.

Money which would have gone into my CPF account was instead used to buy SSBs.

Excess money was used to buy 6 months T-bills, strengthening my T-bill ladder.

This provides me with more passive income without any price risk.

The money in T-bills also come back every 2 weeks which is useful if there are investment opportunities presented by Mr. Market.

$200,000 to $349,999

1. IREIT Global

For readers who have a keen eye, they would have wondered what happened to IREIT Global which was in the higher bracket 18 months ago?

The large decline in unit price since the last update means IREIT Global has fallen in its position in my portfolio.

Having declined more than 40% in the last 18 months means IREIT Global is no longer my largest investment in the REIT universe.

It briefly replaced AIMS APAC REIT as the largest REIT investment in my portfolio 18 months ago.

I made a video about IREIT Global several months ago and the decline in unit price is not unexpected.

Here is the video for anyone who might be interested:

I am still holding on to the investment and will be adding if its unit price declines further.

I find it easier to value IREIT Global because it isn't holding something amorphous.

It is deeply undervalued and more so now that Mr. Market is feeling very pessimistic about it.

In fact, I am getting a bit of that Saizen REIT vibe.

Readers who have been following my blog for many years would know what I mean.

Still, same same but different.

So, do not throw caution to the wind.

I made a video about this recently too:

$100,000 to $199,999

1. Wilmar International

2. ComfortDelgro

3. Frasers Logistics Trust

Membership in this lowest bracket of my largest investments has changed.

Wilmar dropped one rank as its share price declined significantly.

I know Mr. Kuok and Mr. George Yeo added to their investments recently.

However, I am still waiting for $3.00 per share before adding.

Wilmar is very undervalued if we look at the sum of its parts.

However, conglomerates always suffer from conglomerate discount.

So, buying with a larger margin of safety for a person of limited means like myself is not a bad idea.

Wilmar is still profitable and pays a meaningful dividend which means I am being paid while I wait.

This is true for all my investments.

ComfortDelgro and Frasers Logistics Trust are both chugging along fine.

Nothing much to say there.

Sabana REIT and CapitaLand China Trust have dropped out from this bracket.

I reduced my investment in Sabana REIT substantially not too long ago and I blogged about it too.

Don't like how the internalization process seems to be fraught with speed bumps.

Like I said in the blog, it is very different from my experience with Croesus Retail Trust.

CapitaLand China Trust has seen its unit price plunged.

Unfortunately, its fate is tied to that of the Chinese economy which is not in a good place now.

Specifically, the Chinese property sector which accounts for 30% of the economy will be a dead weight for many years to come.

So, this is the update.

Although there are a couple of investments which are underperforming, overall, the portfolio is doing well.

That is what matters to me.

Performance on a portfolio level.

Of course, all of us have different beliefs and we should all do what we feel is right for us.

If AK can talk to himself, so can you.

Related posts:
1. Sabana REIT divestment.
2. Largest investments (4Q 2022.)

How to get $200K dividends yearly? Simpler than you think.

The sequel to the podcast I did with The Fifth Person last month is here.

I just watched it and I thought it would be good to tie up a few loose ends.

If viewers should spend some time ruminating on what I said in the follow-up podcast, they would not need to read this blog post.

So, this blog post is more for my benefit since I have a need to talk to myself all the time.

AK is mental.

1. My response to a viewer who said most regular folks would have to speculate in order to generate sufficient capital to get a $200K dividend annually from investments.

There is no need to speculate although we could certainly do it and in the podcast I shared my view on that.

There are other ways to make more money and regular readers know I did some trading and I also had side hustles to make more money.

I also blogged about how we should not wait until we have a larger amount of money before we start investing for income.

Dividends made in the early days, no matter how small, would grow our wealth, and could be used to invest for even more income.

2. Possible to make $200K dividends annually with $2M and how to get $2M in capital?

In the podcast, I said that my capital wasn't $10M, $5M, $4M or $3M.

It could have been closer to $2M.

And that is giving me $200K in yearly dividends now?

How is that possible?

Elementary, my dear Watson.

A lot of what I bought was bought during crises, when Mr. Market was suffering from severe depression.

By now, my experience with AIMS APAC REIT should be quite well-known.

It is one of my largest investments and probably my oldest one.

It generates a distribution yield of more than 10% on cost for me, year after year.

As I got into it in a big way during the Global Financial Crisis, it is a major contributor to my yearly passive income. 

Of course, my investment has been free of cost for many years too.

I have recovered my capital and I am still receiving income from my investment.

So, of the $200K in dividends received last year, a big chunk of it was actually free money.

It is money generated from nothing.

How did this happen?

Time happened.

It is possible to get higher dividend yields during crises if we invest in the right businesses that would survive the crises.

Of course, we could choose to sell these investments if their stock prices should recover later on.

I used the examples of Lippo Mall Trust and First REIT in the podcast.

Regular readers of my blog would know there were others like Saizen REIT, Croesus Retail Trust and Accordia Golf Trust as well.

Selling for significant capital gains grew my wealth.

It gave me more capital to invest with.

We could also choose to sell a portion of our investments like what I did with Old Chang Kee and Hock Lian Seng.

I sold half of my investments in them when their share prices doubled.

So, whatever I am still holding now is free of cost.

And they are still paying me dividends, year after year.

More free money.

This brings me back to the earlier point on speculation.

Why is there a need to speculate in order to grow wealth?

Simply wait for the next opportunity to make significant investments for income like what I did during the Global Financial Crisis.

Invest in good businesses which are able and willing to pay us.

That opportunity came in the form of the COVID-19 pandemic not too long ago.

Of course, regular readers would know that I emptied my war chest during the pandemic and got into UOB at $19 a share.

That is one of my largest investments today.

It is rewarding me with a dividend yield of almost 9% per annum now.

I also talked about how I started buying into DBS at $13 and $14 a share back in 2016.

At $13 a share, the dividend yield is almost 15% per annum today.

Now, coupled with free money I get from AIMS APAC REIT and some other stocks, do you see why I say the capital deployed isn't as much as what some people say it is?

What I have done over the years isn't simply putting some of my monthly salary in fixed income instruments unless we count the CPF.

If that was my method, then, yes, to generate $200K yearly in dividends now, I would need around $4 million in capital today.

I agree this would be insurmountable for most regular folks.

So, I remind myself of what I did over the years and how I made what seemed impossible happen.

This might be a lot for some people to take in.

There is also the fact that my skill as a wordsmith has regressed in recent years.

So, maybe, read this blog post a few times.

Ruminate on it.

I know I had to.

AK is talking to AK here, after all.

Please don't let people tell us what AK has achieved is not possible for regular folks because the capital required is enormous.

It is simply not true.

This blog post is the truth.

Go share this with people you care about and tell them this.

AK is a regular folk too.

If AK can do it, so can you!

68% expects downturn! CPF POFMA! Distressed REITs!

I have three things to say.

Since I am lazy, might as well put them all in one blog post.

1. Two thirds of Singaporean consumers expect an economic downturn.

There is plenty that is not well in the world and this is probably not unexpected.

However, if we end up just feeling worried about how life could get tougher, then, that is a waste of energy.

I would shore up my cash position even more aggressively.

Make sure I have an adequate emergency fund.

Fill up my war chest and be prepared to buy from Mr. Market when he feels depressed.

I have blogged about such topics many times before and many blog posts are consolidated in this one blog post:

Survivability and opportunity in times of distress.

2. Fake news on CPF!

A Tik Toker has been spreading fake news about the Singapore election system and the CPF system.

POFMA has been served to him twice.

Yet, he is stubbornly sticking to his views.

If he is looking for fame, this isn't the way not only because he harms himself and possibly his family.

He is also harming ignorant Singaporeans who watch his clips and believe what he says.

I like to help people but some people are beyond help.

Like what I said before in this blog post:

A river called CPF and stubborn horses.

3. I made a lot of money buying distressed REITs before.

I recently published a new video on how Manulife US REIT could possibly be an opportunity to make a lot of money.

It reminds me of the time when I bought Saizen REIT and AIMS APAC REIT when they were in distress donkey years ago.

If you are not subscribed to my YouTube channel, here is the link to the video.

How to make money buying distressed REITs?

Be prudent, patient and pragmatic!

If AK can do it, so can you!

$200K in dividends podcast. To inspire and encourage.

Everyone should probably know by now that I did a podcast with my friends at Fifth Person two weeks ago.

Apparently, it has turned out to be a blockbuster!

I so stunned like vegetable!

If you have not seen the podcast yet, here it is.

For readers who have been to "Evening with AK and friends" or who have been listening to me talking to myself for years, the stuff I said in the podcast wouldn't be anything new.

I have said many times before that I am not allowed to give financial advice.

I am just sharing my story and what has worked for me.

It is also important to remember that I have not always been right.

However, like Peter Lynch said, we cannot be right all the time.

In this business, if we are right 6 times out of 10, we are doing OK.

Not in those exact words but you get the idea.

It is OK to have a couple of investments in our portfolio which are not doing as well sometimes but as long as they are fundamentally sound investments, the day will come when they shine.

I remind myself from time to time that in the short run, the market is a voting machine.

There are many people who are more interested in prices and they make money trading in the market which gives rise to volatility.

Nothing wrong with that especially if they are good at it.

When we are investing, we are weighing machines as we are more interested in valuations.

We want to buy stocks of businesses when they are undervalued or at least fairly valued.

Depending on what kind of investor we are, we would look at different things.

However, in the end, it is all about searching for value.

As an investor for income, I am more concerned with whether my investments are able and willing to pay me as expected.

So, during market meltdowns, I am usually pretty calm because I am not using borrowed money to invest with.

There is no need for me to sell at depressed prices to meet obligations as I am not using money meant for something else in life.

What I have achieved as an investor for income took many, many years of time and effort.

Totally worthwhile as I mostly do nothing most of the time unlike the days when I was more active as a trader.

I always say "If AK can do it, so can you".

I really believe this.

As an average income earner, if we are prudent financially and patiently invest for income, we can become a millionaire too.

To invest, we need capital.

It is all going to come from our earned income in the early days, unless we have been lucky.

So, I talked to myself about how to save 100% of our take home pay.

It sounded funny but it wasn't a joke.

If you search my blog or my YouTube channel, which is still a baby, you would find the content.

My YouTube channel: AK71SG.

When the dividends we receive are able to pay for our lifestyle, we can save 100% of our take home pay.

Simple.

Of course, we shouldn't be saving for the sake of saving.

The money saved can be used to invest for more income when the time is right.

So, wealth creation continues.

When people see "$200K in annual dividends", some think maybe AK had a $4 million inheritance or maybe he struck TOTO or something.

A 5% dividend yield on a $4 million investment would give $200K in annual dividends, after all.

When I started my journey, I only had a few thousand dollars and my monthly salary was only $3,000 a month.

Those were hard times.

Long time readers might remember my blog on how I bought my first lot or 1000 shares of ST Engineering at $1.55 a share.

That was more than half of my monthly salary.

I still have those shares today.

What is my dividend yield on those shares today?

Of course, a more recent example would be my investment in AIMS APAC REIT which I bought mostly during the Global Financial Crisis.

At a post consolidation price of less than $1 per unit and a distribution yield of more than 10% per annum on cost, my investment has been free of cost for many years.

Even more recently in 2016, I started investing in DBS at $13 to $14 a share.

Some readers might remember this.

What is my dividend yield on those shares today?

Of course, it would be a mistake to think that it is all just buying and holding as long time readers of my blog would know that I have sold many of my investments over the years too.

Some like Old Chang Kee and Hock Lian Seng, I sold half when their stock prices doubled which means that what I have today is free of cost.

I kept 50% of my original investment as I continued to like them and the dividends they paid.

Who doesn't like free money?

Some of my investments like Lippo Mall Trust and First REIT, I reduced exposure significantly or sold completely for some hefty gains after some years of extraordinarily high distribution yields.

Why did I sell?

Bad vibes.

The same could be said for my investment in Sabana REIT many years ago and also Soilbuild REIT.

Then, there was a string of divestments after many years of receiving good income like Saizen REIT, Croesus Retail Trust, Accordia Golf Trust etc.

In all cases, I had good outcomes not only because of the dividends received but also because I invested in them when they were undervalued.

We cannot always count on a good selling price, after all.

Buying undervalued stocks gives us a better chance of having a good result.

Of course, the capital gains help to give me more ammo to fire when Mr. Market went into a depression again.

I bought about $200K worth of UOB's common stock during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Where did a retiree like AK who depended on passive income for a living get the money from?

AK is so very long winded and almost lost his train of thought.

This is why I prefer blogging to talking because I can see what I was talking to myself about and how to continue.

Very good especially when my brain power is not what it used to be.

Anyway, what I want to say is some of what I have achieved is from "buy and hold" but if I was just purely buying and holding, I would not have what I have today.

Not when I started with only a few thousand dollars and a monthly salary of $3,000 a month.

Yes, I had a couple of side hustles and I was also fortunate enough to make some money as a trader for a few years.

These helped to give me more capital to invest with.

However, they are not the main reasons why I have what I have today.

All of us have different circumstances but we can all have the same philosophy.

If we stay true to that philosophy, we can all achieve success although in varying degrees.

There will always be naysayers out there.

"Alamak! $200K dividend income needs a few million dollars in capital lah! Walao! Where to find that kind of money?"

Well, if they keep thinking like this, they will never find the money.

Don't let negative people tell us that we cannot achieve financial freedom.

We have to believe that we can and I believe that is half the battle won!

I truly believe it when I say if AK can do it, so can you!

Have a good weekend!

References:
1. Passive income as much as earned income.
2. Peace of mind as investors.

3. Three words starting with "P".

Buy CLCT? AA REIT and IREITs' rights issues OTW.

For readers who who are not subscribed to my YouTube channel or who simply prefer reading blogs to watching videos, I produced 2 videos recently and these are the transcripts.
------------

This was a comment from a reader yesterday.

1. For Capitaland China Trust, do you think sentiments towards China are overly pessimistic?

Hence, could the Trust be trading at a fair price 

now?

2. I am sure you saw the right issue on AIMS APAC Real Estate Investment Trust.

Any comment on that?

AK had this to say about China.

For CapitaLand China Trust, I am just holding on to what I have now.

After seeing how China handled the COVID-19 pandemic and also what they did to their biggest tech companies, I don't really know how to read investments in China now.

Another reader said this about Capitaland China Trust.

Hard to wait for the banks when REITs like Capitaland China Trust kept enticing me with lower and lower prices. How like that?



AK said to the reader.

I have been holding on to my position in Capitaland China Trust and not done any buying or selling.

I am not sure as I am more wary of policy risks in China than anything else right now.

Jamie Dimon, CEO of JP Morgan, said this in a recent interview.

China is a far more complex situation now.

He was mostly referring to policy risks, but he was also concerned about geopolitical risks.

Too much uncertainty caused by the Chinese government.

We can also see that Chinese economic recovery has been weak and, to be honest, I agree that much of it has been self-inflicted.

It is not hard to understand that I would rather put more money into investments I have less to worry about.

AK is becoming timid with age.



I had this to say about AIMS APAC real estate investment trust.

The proposed rights issue is relatively small, but it is necessary so that the REIT does not take on more debt to grow organically.

The sponsor has also thrown its weight behind the exercise.

The sponsor, which holds about 75 million units, or about 10% of the total units in the real estate investment trust, has provided an irrevocable undertaking to the manager and the joint bookrunners and underwriters, which include DBS Bank.

The sponsor will accept, subscribe and pay in full for its total provisional allotment of the new units under the preferential offering.

They will also make applications for the number of excess new units under the preferential offering which are not taken up by other unitholders.

Hence, demonstrating their confidence in the real estate investment trust.



The exercise will raise around $100 million through the private placement and preferential offering.

Private placement is to place about 56 million to 58 million units at an issue price of about $1.21 to $1.25 per unit to raise proceeds of $70 million.

The non-renounceable preferential offering or rights issue will raise another $30 million.

This is through the issuance of about 25 million new units to existing eligible unitholders at about $1.19 to $1.23 per new unit.

Existing unitholders will be eligible to an advanced distribution of between 1.7 cents to 1.9 cents per unit.

This would be for the months of April and May.

The record date to be entitled to the advanced distribution and the eligibility to participate in the preferential offering is at 5pm on June 9.



The funds raised will help unlock greater value organically through active enhancement and re-development strategy.

It will also help to secure growth opportunities through targeted acquisitions.

I rather like rights issues which raise money in order to generate more income for the investors.

This is a relatively small rights issue and, therefore, not too demanding.

If AK can talk to himself, so can you!

(Continue scrolling down to read about IREIT Global and its rights issue.)

Reference:
REITs and rights issues.



I have said before that I rather like rights issues if the money raised is used to generate more income for investors.

In the latest fund raising exercise by IREIT Global, this seems to be the case.

They are proposing to acquire 17 retail parks in France.

A strong reason to invest in these assets is that this retail format will continue to outperform in the context of global inflation partly caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.

"The popularity of hard discounters, discounters and outlet stores in France has risen exponentially in recent years.

"Retail Parks, an Out-of-Town asset class, have been resilient through the COVID-19 pandemic due to their accessibility, open-air format, wide range of available spaces, parking facilities, manageable operational cost, value-for-money brands and for some retailers, omni-channel experiences."

These 17 retail parks are leased to B and M Group, a European discount retailer listed on the London Stock Exchange with a market cap of about 4.7 billion Sterling Pounds.

They have been occupying these assets since 2005 on average.

There is a Weighted Average Lease Expiry of 6.8 years but there is an option for lease break 4.6 years from now.

A combination of competitive rents due to out-of-town locations and a resilient retail model which is discount retailing suggests to me that this is a good investment.

Of course, all investments are good investments at the right price.

The asking price is approximately $112 million.

This gives approximately 1.7% discount to the average of the two independent valuations of approximately $114.1 million.

The price is very close to valuation.

Although this might suggest that we are not getting a fantastic deal, it also suggests that this kind of properties is probably in high demand.

The seller isn't desperate to sell.



However, similar to the purchase of Woolworth's HQ in Australia by AIMS APAC real estate investment trust, I like that these 17 properties in France have excess plot ratios which could be developed for more rental income in future.

I would take this potential into consideration since we should always have a long term perspective when investing in good income producing properties.

So, apart from rental escalation being pegged to inflation, this could be another way to extract more income from the assets.

When we take into consideration that new developments of such assets are being restricted in future due to new French regulations, these assets will become even more valuable in future.



This reminds me of Saizen REIT when its properties were valued at under replacement cost.

No one in his right mind would construct a new building when buying an old one would be much cheaper, and would give similar or higher rental yields.

So, the assets Saizen REIT was holding were undervalued.

In the case of out-of-town assets in France, new ones are apparently not allowed by law.

With the future in mind, we could make the case that these assets could be undervalued.

Of course, having these properties in the portfolio would reduce concentration risk which has been a major pain point for many investors forever.

I don't really care for the other advantages put forth by the management.

The next thing I want to know is how the acquisition is going to be funded and whether it is going to be yield accretive.

Apparently, it is going to be yield accretive.

Pro forma adjusted FY2022 accretion of 2.0% was computed based on audited FY2022.

This is with the assumption that Darmstadt Campus is 100% vacant for FY2022 from 1 January 2022 with nil revenue but with operating expenses.

OK, how much do investors have to pay?

Cost of properties = $112 million.

Expenses related to purchase = $20 million.

Now, I know how people paying ABSD in Singapore feel.

The deal will be funded by the following.

1. A non-renounceable underwritten preferential offering of new Units to existing Unitholders on a pro rata basis or a rights issue.

2. External bank borrowings.

3. Borrowings from Tikehau Capital.



Both Tikehau Capital and City Developments Limited, the joint sponsors, and the manager, will subscribe in full their allotment in the rights issue.

They will also subscribe to excess units which other investors do not take up, such that their aggregate subscriptions would amount to a maximum of $40 million.

IREIT Global has a market capitalization of around $550 million.

As the sponsors jointly hold about 50% of the total units issued, without further information, I can only hazard a guess that we would see around 10% increase in the number of units issued.

We could assume that approximately 168 million new Preferential Offering Units might be issued at an illustrative issue price of 45 cents per Preferential Offering Unit.

This could raise gross proceeds of approximately $75 million.

So, if we like this proposed investment in French retail parks, we have to be ready to increase our investment in the real estate investment trust by about 10% through the rights issue.

If AK can talk to himself, so can you.

Reference:
IREIT Global presentation.

Offer of 46.5c per unit for Sabana REIT by Volare Group.

This blog is in response to a reader's comment on Sabana REIT being taken over by a substantial shareholder.

I was replying to the reader's comment but it got pretty long.

So, I am publishing the reply as a blog instead and more people can eavesdrop as I talk to myself.

AK talks to himself:

It seems that Volare Group isn't buying the entire REIT.

Just a partial offer for 10% of the REIT at 46.5c a unit.

It is at a rather big discount to Sabana REIT's NAV but, given the much higher risk free rate today, it is probably not too bad a price.

I remember blogging about what I thought a fair price might be for a buyer to offer for Sabana REIT.

That was in relation to the low ball offer made by ESR REIT at the time.

I suggested a price of 48c a unit.

46.5c isn't too far off and back when I suggested 48c a unit, interest rate was way lower too.

For anyone who is interested, you will find my take on the matter in the following blog:

4Q 2020 passive income.

The fact that Volare Group is going to pay 46.5c per unit in today's high interest rate environment for Sabana REIT supports the argument that ESR was really trying get Sabana REIT for a song back in 2020.

Shame on ESR.

Shame on all the people who said it was a good deal and that Sabana REIT's minority shareholders should accept the scheme.

Yes, that's what they called it.

A scheme.

So scheming.

This offer by Volare Group is an affirmation of Sabana REIT's attractiveness as an investment for income even in today's environment.

Most of my investment in Sabana REIT, around 80%, was made at 35c a unit with the balance made up of a small legacy position and also around 15% added more recently.

So, if the REIT should be 100% taken over at an offer price of 46.5c a unit, I suppose it would not be a bad outcome for me.

To be quite honest, however, I wouldn't be celebrating.

It would most likely be a bitter sweet moment as it would remind me of Saizen REIT, Croesus Retail Trust, Accordia Golf Trust and Religare Health Trust.

All of them were pretty good investments for income with my entry prices but I was forced to take the capital gains as they were all delisted at one point or another.

I am still keen on keeping Sabana REIT as an investment for income.

I don't want to have to look for replacement investments for income. 

After having spent too much time in 2022 reallocating resources, I am looking forward to being lazier in 2023.

Reference:
Largest investments updated.