I am getting somewhat bored with saying more or less the same things everyday for a while now. The market has not been very exciting either way. So, I am giving myself a break from doing a "Charts in brief" post today. However, Genting SP's price caught my eyes as it touched a low of 85c before closing at 86c today. I am not vested in this counter but the amount of interest it has generated as the biggest story in Singapore's entertainment and hospitality industries in recent times got me looking on as well.
Technically, it would seem as if a test of the previous low at 83.5c achieved on 4 March is on the cards. The 20d, 50d and 100d MAs are all downtrending. The MACD is still below zero and has formed a bearish crossover with the signal line. OBV shows distribution taking place. MFI shows a lack of buying momentum. Stochastics has just dipped into oversold territory.
A bearish picture is obvious, no doubt. However, the selling down lacks strong conviction, in my opinion. If we look at 18 Feb which was the day the $1.02 support gave way completely, the volume was extremely high. Volume has been relatively low since that day as price retreated. I am not saying that price could not go lower but I am saying that the current selling pressure does not seem as great as it was earlier this year. Having said this, price could go lower and I see 80c as a significant support level.
What if 80c gives way? Well, a look at the weekly chart shows the 100wMA at 75c and this should provide a stronger support.
Related post:
Genting SP: Stale bulls' second chance?